Toluca W 37%Draw 23%Pachuca W 39%Expected goals 1.76 – 1.81
65%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultPachuca W to win ✗39% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.31
Toluca W vs Pachuca W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pachuca W travel to face Toluca W on Tuesday 17 February in the Liga MX Femenil – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Toluca W are 6th, upper half, on 27 points after 14 matches; Pachuca W are 10th (lower half) with 19.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Toluca W 1.8 xG, Pachuca W 1.8 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 66% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Toluca W 37%, draw 23%, Pachuca W 39%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Toluca W 1–2 Pachuca W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Toluca W37%fair 2.67 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.55
Pachuca W39%fair 2.54 · @2.62
3.57Expected goals
1.76Toluca W xG
1.81Pachuca W xG
66%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Toluca W 1.8 – 1.8 Pachuca W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Toluca W
Pachuca W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average
+17%
+19%
Goals conceded vs average
-3%
-17%
Our expected goals here
1.82
1.89
Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pachuca W to win✗
39%
2.54
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.44
Draw no bet
Pachuca W (draw no bet)
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Toluca W +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.22
First team to score
Pachuca W to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pachuca W / FT Pachuca W✗
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.31
–
Recent results
Toluca W
No recent results on record.
Pachuca W
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Toluca W and Pachuca W.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Toluca W vs Pachuca W?
On our numbers Toluca W have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pachuca W 39%.
How many goals will there be in Toluca W vs Pachuca W?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toluca W vs Pachuca W?
Our predicted score is Toluca W 1–2 Pachuca W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Toluca W vs Pachuca W?
Toluca W vs Pachuca W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán W0