León W 71%Draw 17%Puebla W 12%Expected goals 2.53 – 1.01
83%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultLeón W to win71% · @1.28
Double chanceLeón W or draw88% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals83% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.65
León W vs Puebla W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Tuesday 17 February: León W v Puebla W in the Liga MX Femenil. In the table, León W are 7th, upper half, on 25 points after 14 matches; Puebla W are 17th (in the drop zone) with 4. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give León W 2.5 xG, Puebla W 1.0 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – León W 71%, draw 17%, Puebla W 12%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: León W 2–1 Puebla W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
León W71%fair 1.41 · @1.28
Draw17%fair 6.05 · @5.25
Puebla W12%fair 8.03 · @10.25
3.54Expected goals
2.53León W xG
1.01Puebla W xG
55%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: León W 2.5 – 1.0 Puebla W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
León W
Puebla W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average
-1%
-17%
Goals conceded vs average
-11%
+54%
Our expected goals here
2.87
1.20
Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
León W to win
71%
1.41
1.28
Double chance
León W or draw
88%
1.14
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.80
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
León W (draw no bet)
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
León W -1 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
83%
1.21
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
63%
1.58
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
58%
1.73
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.20
First team to score
León W to score first
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
León W ahead at half-time
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT León W / FT León W
47%
2.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.65
–
Recent results
León W
No recent results on record.
Puebla W – last 1
L
14 Feb
@ Tigres UANL W
0–4
L
0.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between León W and Puebla W.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win León W vs Puebla W?
On our numbers León W have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Puebla W 12%.
How many goals will there be in León W vs Puebla W?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for León W vs Puebla W?
Our predicted score is León W 2–1 Puebla W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is León W vs Puebla W?
León W vs Puebla W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán W0