Pumas UNAM W 18%Draw 22%Tigres UANL W 61%Expected goals 1.12 – 2.40
82%
Betarazi pick
Tigres UANL W or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Tigres UANL W to win @ 1.78 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTigres UANL W to win ✓61% · @1.78
Double chanceTigres UANL W or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.47
Pumas UNAM W vs Tigres UANL W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 21 February the Liga MX Femenil brings Pumas UNAM W against Tigres UANL W. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, Pumas UNAM W are 9th, upper half, on 20 points after 14 matches; Tigres UANL W are 3rd (among the top four) with 35. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pumas UNAM W 1.1 xG, Tigres UANL W 2.4 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pumas UNAM W 18%, draw 22%, Tigres UANL W 61%.
Lower-risk option: Tigres UANL W or draw (82%) at 1.25.
Price worth noting: Tigres UANL W to win @1.78 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Tigres UANL W or draw (82%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pumas UNAM W 1–2 Tigres UANL W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pumas UNAM W18%fair 5.66 · @3.60
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.50
Tigres UANL W61%fair 1.65 · @1.78
3.52Expected goals
1.12Pumas UNAM W xG
2.40Tigres UANL W xG
52%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
0–29%
1–18%
1–38%
0–17%
0–37%
From our goals model: Pumas UNAM W 1.1 – 2.4 Tigres UANL W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Pumas UNAM W
Tigres UANL W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average
-7%
+68%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
-37%
Our expected goals here
1.09
2.81
Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tigres UANL W to win✓
61%
1.65
1.78 ▲
Double chance
Tigres UANL W or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
–
Draw no bet
Tigres UANL W (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Tigres UANL W -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.19
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.61
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.47
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
First team to score
Tigres UANL W to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Tigres UANL W ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tigres UANL W / FT Tigres UANL W✓
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.47
–
Recent results
Pumas UNAM W
No recent results on record.
Tigres UANL W – last 2
DW
17 Feb
@ Mazatlán W
0–0
D
14 Feb
vs Puebla W
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pumas UNAM W and Tigres UANL W.
What is the prediction for Pumas UNAM W vs Tigres UANL W?
Our pick is Tigres UANL W or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Pumas UNAM W vs Tigres UANL W?
On our numbers Pumas UNAM W have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tigres UANL W 61%.
How many goals will there be in Pumas UNAM W vs Tigres UANL W?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pumas UNAM W vs Tigres UANL W?
Our predicted score is Pumas UNAM W 1–2 Tigres UANL W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Pumas UNAM W vs Tigres UANL W?
Pumas UNAM W vs Tigres UANL W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
