Atlas W 20%Draw 22%Cruz Azul W 58%Expected goals 1.21 – 1.94
61%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultCruz Azul W to win ✓58% · @1.46
Double chanceCruz Azul W or draw ✓80% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Atlas W vs Cruz Azul W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Saturday 21 February: Atlas W v Cruz Azul W in the Liga MX Femenil, played at Estadio Colomos. In the table, Atlas W are 13th, lower half, on 17 points after 14 matches; Cruz Azul W are 12th (lower half) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlas W 1.2 xG, Cruz Azul W 1.9 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 53% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlas W 20%, draw 22%, Cruz Azul W 58%.
Lower-risk option: Cruz Azul W or draw (80%) at 1.14.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlas W 1–1 Cruz Azul W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlas W20%fair 4.88 · @5.25
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @4.20
Cruz Azul W58%fair 1.73 · @1.46
3.15Expected goals
1.21Atlas W xG
1.94Cruz Azul W xG
53%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–28%
1–36%
2–16%
From our goals model: Atlas W 1.2 – 1.9 Cruz Azul W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atlas W
Cruz Azul W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average
-34%
-13%
Goals conceded vs average
+16%
-1%
Our expected goals here
1.21
1.65
Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cruz Azul W to win✓
58%
1.73
1.46
Double chance
Cruz Azul W or draw✓
80%
1.26
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
–
Draw no bet
Cruz Azul W (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Atlas W +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.21
First team to score
Cruz Azul W to score first
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Cruz Azul W ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cruz Azul W / FT Cruz Azul W✓
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.26
–
Recent results
Atlas W – last 1
L
17 Feb
@ Guadalajara W
2–4
L
2.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Cruz Azul W – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Tijuana W
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlas W and Cruz Azul W.
What is the prediction for Atlas W vs Cruz Azul W?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Atlas W vs Cruz Azul W?
On our numbers Atlas W have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cruz Azul W 58%.
How many goals will there be in Atlas W vs Cruz Azul W?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlas W vs Cruz Azul W?
Our predicted score is Atlas W 1–1 Cruz Azul W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Atlas W vs Cruz Azul W?
Atlas W vs Cruz Azul W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Colomos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
