Santos Laguna W 18%Draw 19%Toluca W 63%Expected goals 1.26 – 2.05
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.46 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.46Odds
Picks by market
ResultToluca W to win ✓63% · @1.25
Double chanceToluca W or draw ✓82% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.34
Santos Laguna W vs Toluca W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Toluca W travel to face Santos Laguna W on Saturday 21 February in the Liga MX Femenil, with Estadio Corona the venue – the ball rolls at 04:06 WAT. In the table, Santos Laguna W are 8th, upper half, on 22 points after 14 matches; Toluca W are 6th (upper half) with 27.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santos Laguna W 1.3 xG, Toluca W 2.1 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santos Laguna W 18%, draw 19%, Toluca W 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.46). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santos Laguna W 1–2 Toluca W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santos Laguna W18%fair 5.63 · @8.25
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @5.50
Toluca W63%fair 1.59 · @1.25
3.31Expected goals
1.26Santos Laguna W xG
2.05Toluca W xG
55%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–18%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Santos Laguna W 1.3 – 2.1 Toluca W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Santos Laguna W
Toluca W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average
-13%
+17%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
-3%
Our expected goals here
1.57
1.88
Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Toluca W to win✓
63%
1.59
1.25
Double chance
Toluca W or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
–
Draw no bet
Toluca W (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Santos Laguna W +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.46
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.63
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.26
First team to score
Toluca W to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Toluca W ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Toluca W / FT Toluca W✓
35%
2.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.34
–
Recent results
Santos Laguna W – last 1
W
15 Feb
@ Necaxa W
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Toluca W – last 1
D
17 Feb
vs Pachuca W
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santos Laguna W and Toluca W.
What is the prediction for Santos Laguna W vs Toluca W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.46.
Who will win Santos Laguna W vs Toluca W?
On our numbers Santos Laguna W have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Toluca W 63%.
How many goals will there be in Santos Laguna W vs Toluca W?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santos Laguna W vs Toluca W?
Our predicted score is Santos Laguna W 1–2 Toluca W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Santos Laguna W vs Toluca W?
Santos Laguna W vs Toluca W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 04:06 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Corona.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
