Atlas W vs Necaxa W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 28 March the Liga MX Femenil brings Atlas W against Necaxa W at Estadio Colomos. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Atlas W are 13th, lower half, on 17 points after 14 matches; Necaxa W are 18th (in the drop zone) with 1. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atlas W, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to León W, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 3.4 conceded per game.
Necaxa W, last 4: LDLL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Toluca W, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlas W 2.5 xG, Necaxa W 0.9 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlas W 72%, draw 18%, Necaxa W 10%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Atlas W to win (72%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlas W 2–0 Necaxa W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlas W72%fair 1.39 · @1.26
Draw18%fair 5.46 · @5.30
Necaxa W10%fair 10.23 · @11.00
3.34Expected goals
2.48Atlas W xG
0.86Necaxa W xG
60%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
2–19%
3–09%
1–09%
3–18%
1–18%
From our goals model: Atlas W 2.5 – 0.9 Necaxa W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atlas W
Necaxa W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average
-34%
-57%
Goals conceded vs average
+16%
+90%
Our expected goals here
2.33
0.82
Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlas W to win✓
72%
1.39
1.26
Double chance
Atlas W or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.73
Draw no bet
Atlas W (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Atlas W -1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.77
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.33
First team to score
Atlas W to score first✓
72%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Atlas W ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlas W / FT Atlas W✓
49%
2.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.67
–
Recent results
Atlas W – last 5
LLWLL
24 Mar
@ León W
0–4
L
17 Mar
vs Monterrey W
0–3
L
13 Mar
@ Querétaro W
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Cruz Azul W
4–6
L
17 Feb
@ Guadalajara W
2–4
L
1.4Scored / game
3.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Necaxa W – last 4
LDLL
21 Mar
@ Toluca W
1–5
L
15 Mar
vs Atlético San Luis W
1–1
D
12 Mar
@ Cruz Azul W
0–3
L
15 Feb
vs Santos Laguna W
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlas W and Necaxa W.
Our pick is Atlas W to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Atlas W vs Necaxa W?
On our numbers Atlas W have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Necaxa W 10%.
How many goals will there be in Atlas W vs Necaxa W?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlas W vs Necaxa W?
Our predicted score is Atlas W 2–0 Necaxa W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Atlas W vs Necaxa W?
Atlas W vs Necaxa W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Colomos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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