Mazatlán W 20%Draw 21%Toluca W 59%Expected goals 1.32 – 1.99
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultToluca W to win ✓59% · @1.30
Double chanceToluca W or draw ✓80% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.48
Mazatlán W vs Toluca W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 28 March the Liga MX Femenil brings Mazatlán W against Toluca W at Estadio El Encanto. Kick-off: 03:00 WAT.
Current form
Mazatlán W, last 4: WLWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over León W, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Toluca W, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Necaxa W, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mazatlán W 1.3 xG, Toluca W 2.0 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mazatlán W 20%, draw 21%, Toluca W 59%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mazatlán W 1–2 Toluca W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mazatlán W20%fair 5.08 · @9.60
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @5.00
Toluca W59%fair 1.69 · @1.30
3.31Expected goals
1.32Mazatlán W xG
1.99Toluca W xG
60%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–17%
0–27%
2–16%
1–36%
From our goals model: Mazatlán W 1.3 – 2.0 Toluca W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mazatlán W
Toluca W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average
-14%
+17%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
-3%
Our expected goals here
1.55
1.76
Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Toluca W to win✓
59%
1.69
1.30
Double chance
Toluca W or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.75
Draw no bet
Toluca W (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Mazatlán W +1 (Asian handicap)
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
First team to score
Toluca W to score first
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Toluca W ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Toluca W / FT Toluca W✗
33%
3.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.48
–
Recent results
Mazatlán W – last 4
WLWD
17 Mar
@ León W
3–1
W
13 Mar
vs Monterrey W
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ Puebla W
2–1
W
17 Feb
vs Tigres UANL W
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Toluca W – last 5
WLWWD
21 Mar
vs Necaxa W
5–1
W
17 Mar
@ América W
0–2
L
13 Mar
vs Pumas UNAM W
4–2
W
21 Feb
@ Santos Laguna W
1–0
W
17 Feb
vs Pachuca W
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mazatlán W and Toluca W.
What is the prediction for Mazatlán W vs Toluca W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Mazatlán W vs Toluca W?
On our numbers Mazatlán W have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Toluca W 59%.
How many goals will there be in Mazatlán W vs Toluca W?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mazatlán W vs Toluca W?
Our predicted score is Mazatlán W 1–2 Toluca W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Mazatlán W vs Toluca W?
Mazatlán W vs Toluca W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Encanto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
