Cruz Azul W 75%Draw 16%Puebla W 10%Expected goals 2.68 – 1.13
76%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.20
8/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 60% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultCruz Azul W to win75% · @1.09
Double chanceCruz Azul W or draw90% · fair 1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @2.15
GoalsOver 2.5 goals76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.13
Cruz Azul W vs Puebla W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:45 WAT, Saturday 28 March: Cruz Azul W v Puebla W in the Liga MX Femenil, played at Instalaciones La Noria Cancha 1. In the table, Cruz Azul W are 12th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Puebla W are 17th (in the drop zone) with 4. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Cruz Azul W, last 4: WWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Santos Laguna W, away. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Puebla W, last 4: LLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Juárez W, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Cruz Azul W, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.0 for Puebla W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cruz Azul W 2.7 xG, Puebla W 1.1 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cruz Azul W 75%, draw 16%, Puebla W 10%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cruz Azul W 2–1 Puebla W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cruz Azul W75%fair 1.34 · @1.09
Draw16%fair 6.41 · @9.10
Puebla W10%fair 10.11 · @23.00
3.81Expected goals
2.68Cruz Azul W xG
1.13Puebla W xG
60%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
2–08%
3–07%
1–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Cruz Azul W 2.7 – 1.1 Puebla W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cruz Azul W
Puebla W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average
-13%
-17%
Goals conceded vs average
-1%
+54%
Our expected goals here
2.51
1.34
Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cruz Azul W to win
75%
1.34
1.09
Double chance
Cruz Azul W or draw
90%
1.11
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.66
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Cruz Azul W (draw no bet)
88%
1.13
–
Asian handicap
Cruz Azul W -1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.20
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
58%
1.73
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
61%
1.63
1.67
First team to score
Cruz Azul W to score first
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Cruz Azul W ahead at half-time
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cruz Azul W / FT Cruz Azul W
48%
2.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.13
–
Recent results
Cruz Azul W – last 4
WWWD
18 Mar
@ Santos Laguna W
2–0
W
12 Mar
vs Necaxa W
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ Atlas W
6–4
W
15 Feb
@ Tijuana W
1–1
D
3.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Puebla W – last 4
LLLL
15 Mar
vs Juárez W
0–2
L
12 Mar
@ Atlético San Luis W
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Mazatlán W
1–2
L
14 Feb
@ Tigres UANL W
0–4
L
0.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cruz Azul W and Puebla W.
What is the prediction for Cruz Azul W vs Puebla W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cruz Azul W vs Puebla W?
On our numbers Cruz Azul W have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Puebla W 10%.
How many goals will there be in Cruz Azul W vs Puebla W?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruz Azul W vs Puebla W?
Our predicted score is Cruz Azul W 2–1 Puebla W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Cruz Azul W vs Puebla W?
Cruz Azul W vs Puebla W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 22:45 (West Africa Time) at Instalaciones La Noria Cancha 1.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán W2