Birmingham Legion v Indy Eleven Prediction & Expected Goals (19 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultBirmingham Legion to win41% · @2.25

Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.67

GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.24

Birmingham Legion vs Indy Eleven: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

22:00 WAT, Sunday 19 April: Birmingham Legion v Indy Eleven in the USL Championship, played at Protective Stadium. In the table, Birmingham Legion are 11th, in the drop zone, on 30 points after 30 matches; Indy Eleven are 9th (lower half) with 34.

Current form

Birmingham Legion, last 3: LDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Charleston Battery, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Indy Eleven, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Monterey Bay, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Momentum favours Indy Eleven, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.3 for Birmingham Legion.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Birmingham Legion 1.4 xG, Indy Eleven 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Birmingham Legion 41%, draw 25%, Indy Eleven 33%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Birmingham Legion 1–1 Indy Eleven. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Birmingham Legion41%fair 2.42 · @2.25

Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.30

Indy Eleven33%fair 2.99 · @2.80

2.62Expected goals

1.44Birmingham Legion xG

1.18Indy Eleven xG

58%Both score

49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–010%

2–19%

0–19%

2–08%

1–27%

From our goals model: Birmingham Legion 1.4 – 1.2 Indy Eleven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Birmingham Legion	Indy Eleven
Attack vs USL Championship average	-2%	-20%
Goals conceded vs average	+16%	+4%
Our expected goals here	1.53	1.14

Birmingham Legion

Indy Eleven

Attack vs USL Championship average

-2%

-20%

Goals conceded vs average

+16%

+4%

Our expected goals here

1.53

1.14

Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Birmingham Legion to win	41%	2.42	2.25
Double chance	Either team to win	75%	1.34	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score	58%	1.71	1.67
Draw no bet	Birmingham Legion (draw no bet)	55%	1.81	–
Asian handicap	Indy Eleven +1 (Asian handicap)	73%	1.36	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	73%	1.37	1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals	51%	1.97	1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	72%	1.39	1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	87%	1.14	–
First team to score	Birmingham Legion to score first	51%	1.96	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time	43%	2.33	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Birmingham Legion / FT Birmingham Legion	25%	3.96	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1	9%	11.24	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Birmingham Legion to win

41%

2.42

2.25

Double chance

Either team to win

75%

1.34

1.22

Both teams to score

Both teams to score

58%

1.71

1.67

Draw no bet

Birmingham Legion (draw no bet)

55%

1.81

–

Asian handicap

Indy Eleven +1 (Asian handicap)

73%

1.36

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals

73%

1.37

1.28

Over/under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals

51%

1.97

1.85

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals

72%

1.39

1.30

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals

87%

1.14

–

First team to score

Birmingham Legion to score first

51%

1.96

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time

43%

2.33

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Birmingham Legion / FT Birmingham Legion

25%

3.96

–

Correct score

Correct score 2–1

11.24

–

Recent results

Head to head

USL Championship table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	30	18	7	5	+26	61
2	Charleston Battery	30	16	5	9	+21	53
3	Detroit City	30	14	9	7	+13	51
4	Louisville City	30	13	8	9	+8	47
5	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	30	13	6	11	+3	45
6	Hartford Athletic	30	10	13	7	+2	43
7	Rhode Island	30	12	6	12	+9	42
8	Miami FC	30	9	9	12	-10	36
9	Indy Eleven	30	9	7	14	-6	34
10	Loudoun United	30	6	13	11	-10	31
11	Birmingham Legion	30	6	12	12	-6	30
12	Brooklyn	30	5	6	19	-29	21
13	Sporting JAX	30	3	5	22	-46	14

Team

Pts

+26

+21

+13

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

-10

-6

-10

-6

-29

-46

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Birmingham Legion vs Indy Eleven?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Birmingham Legion vs Indy Eleven?

On our numbers Birmingham Legion have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Indy Eleven 33%.

How many goals will there be in Birmingham Legion vs Indy Eleven?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Birmingham Legion vs Indy Eleven?

Our predicted score is Birmingham Legion 1–1 Indy Eleven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Birmingham Legion vs Indy Eleven?

Birmingham Legion vs Indy Eleven (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Protective Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

22 Mar	@ Charleston Battery	2–3	L
11 Mar	vs Hartford Athletic	0–0	D
8 Mar	vs Tampa Bay Rowdies	0–1	L

12 Apr	vs Monterey Bay	3–1	W
5 Apr	vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1–1	D
1 Apr	vs Union Omaha	1–2	L
22 Mar	vs Detroit City	2–1	W
18 Mar	vs Des Moines Menace	3–0	W

Birmingham Legion v Indy Eleven: numbers & prediction