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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Miami FC v Phoenix Rising: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · Riccardo Silva Stadium
0–3
FT
Miami FC 39%Draw 25%Phoenix Rising 37% Expected goals 1.55 – 1.49
60%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultMiami FC to win ✗39% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.67

Miami FC vs Phoenix Rising: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:00 WAT, Sunday 19 April: Miami FC v Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship, played at Riccardo Silva Stadium. In the table, Miami FC are 8th, lower half, on 36 points after 30 matches; Phoenix Rising are 8th (lower half) with 40.

Current form

Miami FC, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with San Antonio, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Phoenix Rising, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to San Jose Earthquakes, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Miami FC, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Phoenix Rising.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Miami FC 1.5 xG, Phoenix Rising 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Miami FC 39%, draw 25%, Phoenix Rising 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Miami FC 1–1 Phoenix Rising. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Miami FC39%fair 2.59 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.10
Phoenix Rising37%fair 2.74 · @2.50
3.03Expected goals
1.55Miami FC xG
1.49Phoenix Rising xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Miami FC 1.5 – 1.5 Phoenix Rising expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Miami FCPhoenix Rising
Attack vs USL Championship average+3%+15%
Goals conceded vs average+20%+14%
Our expected goals here1.761.67

Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMiami FC to win ✗39%2.592.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.681.62
Draw no betMiami FC (draw no bet) ✗51%1.95–
Asian handicapPhoenix Rising +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.71–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
First team to scoreMiami FC to score first ✗49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.54–
Half-time / full-timeHT Miami FC / FT Miami FC ✗23%4.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.67–

Recent results

Miami FC – last 3

DWW
12 Apr@ San Antonio0–0D
29 Marvs Rhode Island2–1W
26 Mar@ Sporting JAX4–2W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Phoenix Rising – last 6

LWLDDD
16 Apr@ San Jose Earthquakes0–2L
12 Aprvs New Mexico United3–0W
5 Apr@ Sacramento Republic0–2L
2 Apr@ Orange County SC1–1D
29 Mar@ FC Tulsa1–1D
22 Marvs Oakland Roots2–2D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Miami FC and Phoenix Rising.

Miami FC vs Phoenix Rising head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies301875+2661
2Charleston Battery301659+2153
3Detroit City301497+1351
4Louisville City301389+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds3013611+345
6Hartford Athletic3010137+243
7Rhode Island3012612+942
8Miami FC309912-1036
9Indy Eleven309714-634
10Loudoun United3061311-1031
11Birmingham Legion3061212-630
12Brooklyn305619-2921
13Sporting JAX303522-4614

More USL Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Miami FC vs Phoenix Rising?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Miami FC vs Phoenix Rising?

On our numbers Miami FC have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Phoenix Rising 37%.

How many goals will there be in Miami FC vs Phoenix Rising?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Miami FC vs Phoenix Rising?

Our predicted score is Miami FC 1–1 Phoenix Rising, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Miami FC vs Phoenix Rising?

Miami FC vs Phoenix Rising (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Riccardo Silva Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.