Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Lexington to win @ 2.88 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLexington to win ✗39% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.00
Indy Eleven vs Lexington: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Indy Eleven welcome Lexington to Michael A. Carroll Stadium for a USL Championship fixture on Sunday 24 May (00:00 WAT). In the table, Indy Eleven are 9th, lower half, on 34 points after 30 matches; Lexington are 4th (among the top four) with 48. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Indy Eleven, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sporting JAX, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Lexington, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Monterey Bay, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Indy Eleven 1.3 xG, Lexington 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Indy Eleven 36%, draw 25%, Lexington 39%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Lexington to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Indy Eleven 1–1 Lexington. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Indy Eleven36%fair 2.79 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.10
Lexington39%fair 2.56 · @2.88
2.82Expected goals
1.27Indy Eleven xG
1.55Lexington xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Indy Eleven 1.3 – 1.5 Lexington expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Indy Eleven
Lexington
Attack vs USL Championship average
-20%
+45%
Goals conceded vs average
+4%
-0%
Our expected goals here
1.21
1.84
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lexington to win✗
39%
2.56
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.62
Draw no bet
Lexington (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Indy Eleven +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.87
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
First team to score
Lexington to score first✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lexington / FT Lexington✗
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.00
–
Recent results
Indy Eleven – last 6
WLLWDL
10 May
vs Sporting JAX
2–1
W
3 May
@ Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Union Omaha
1–2
L
12 Apr
vs Monterey Bay
3–1
W
5 Apr
vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1–1
D
1 Apr
vs Union Omaha
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lexington – last 6
WLWDLL
9 May
vs Monterey Bay
3–1
W
3 May
@ Las Vegas Lights
1–2
L
26 Apr
vs Forward Madison
4–2
W
19 Apr
@ Orange County SC
0–0
D
12 Apr
vs Rhode Island
1–3
L
2 Apr
vs Louisville City
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Indy Eleven and Lexington.
What is the prediction for Indy Eleven vs Lexington?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Indy Eleven vs Lexington?
On our numbers Indy Eleven have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lexington 39%.
How many goals will there be in Indy Eleven vs Lexington?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Indy Eleven vs Lexington?
Our predicted score is Indy Eleven 1–1 Lexington, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Indy Eleven vs Lexington?
Indy Eleven vs Lexington (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Michael A. Carroll Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
San Antonio2
Sacramento Republic1
New Mexico United1
Monterey Bay2
Orange County SC3
Oakland Roots2
Las Vegas Lights2
Colorado Springs0