New Mexico United 38%Draw 24%Charleston Battery 38%Expected goals 1.57 – 1.35
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: New Mexico United to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNew Mexico United to win ✓38% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.13
New Mexico United vs Charleston Battery: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Sunday 24 May: New Mexico United v Charleston Battery in the USL Championship, played at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park. In the table, New Mexico United are 1st, leading the league, on 52 points after 30 matches; Charleston Battery are 2nd (among the top four) with 53. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
New Mexico United, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tampa Bay Rowdies, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Charleston Battery, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Richmond Kickers, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 5. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Charleston Battery, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for New Mexico United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give New Mexico United 1.6 xG, Charleston Battery 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – New Mexico United 38%, draw 24%, Charleston Battery 38%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: New Mexico United to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: New Mexico United 1–1 Charleston Battery. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
New Mexico United38%fair 2.61 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.55
Charleston Battery38%fair 2.63 · @2.00
2.92Expected goals
1.57New Mexico United xG
1.35Charleston Battery xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: New Mexico United 1.6 – 1.3 Charleston Battery expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
New Mexico United
Charleston Battery
Attack vs USL Championship average
+23%
+26%
Goals conceded vs average
-22%
-6%
Our expected goals here
1.74
1.19
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
New Mexico United to win✓
38%
2.61
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.53
Draw no bet
New Mexico United (draw no bet)✓
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Charleston Battery +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
New Mexico United to score first✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT New Mexico United / FT New Mexico United✗
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.13
–
Recent results
New Mexico United – last 6
LLWDWL
21 May
vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–1
L
17 May
@ Colorado Springs
0–4
L
10 May
vs Las Vegas Lights
3–1
W
7 May
vs El Paso Locomotive
2–2
D
26 Apr
vs Alta
2–1
W
12 Apr
@ Phoenix Rising
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Charleston Battery – last 6
WWWLLD
16 May
@ Richmond Kickers
4–0
W
3 May
vs Sporting JAX
4–0
W
25 Apr
@ Loudoun United
2–1
W
23 Apr
@ Rhode Island
0–4
L
12 Apr
@ Brooklyn
0–3
L
1 Apr
@ Charlotte Independence
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New Mexico United and Charleston Battery.
What is the prediction for New Mexico United vs Charleston Battery?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win New Mexico United vs Charleston Battery?
On our numbers New Mexico United have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Charleston Battery 38%.
How many goals will there be in New Mexico United vs Charleston Battery?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New Mexico United vs Charleston Battery?
Our predicted score is New Mexico United 1–1 Charleston Battery, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is New Mexico United vs Charleston Battery?
New Mexico United vs Charleston Battery (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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