Monterey Bay vs Birmingham Legion: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 24 May the USL Championship brings Monterey Bay against Birmingham Legion at Cardinale Stadium. Kick-off: 03:00 WAT. In the table, Monterey Bay are 12th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 30 matches; Birmingham Legion are 11th (in the drop zone) with 30.
Current form
Monterey Bay, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Boise, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Birmingham Legion, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Miami FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Birmingham Legion, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.2 for Monterey Bay.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Monterey Bay 1.4 xG, Birmingham Legion 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Monterey Bay 35%, draw 25%, Birmingham Legion 40%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monterey Bay 1–1 Birmingham Legion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Monterey Bay35%fair 2.82 · @2.55
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.35
Birmingham Legion40%fair 2.51 · @2.40
2.71Expected goals
1.36Monterey Bay xG
1.35Birmingham Legion xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Monterey Bay 1.4 – 1.3 Birmingham Legion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Monterey Bay
Birmingham Legion
Attack vs USL Championship average
-12%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
+13%
+16%
Our expected goals here
1.53
1.34
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Birmingham Legion to win✗
40%
2.51
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.62
Draw no bet
Birmingham Legion (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Birmingham Legion +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Monterey Bay to score first✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monterey Bay / FT Monterey Bay✗
22%
4.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.14
–
Recent results
Monterey Bay – last 6
LLLLDL
17 May
@ Boise
3–4
L
9 May
@ Lexington
1–3
L
4 May
vs FC Tulsa
1–2
L
12 Apr
@ Indy Eleven
1–3
L
5 Apr
vs San Antonio
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Las Vegas Lights
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Birmingham Legion – last 5
DWLDL
8 May
vs Miami FC
0–0
D
3 May
@ Rhode Island
3–1
W
22 Mar
@ Charleston Battery
2–3
L
11 Mar
vs Hartford Athletic
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monterey Bay and Birmingham Legion.
What is the prediction for Monterey Bay vs Birmingham Legion?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Monterey Bay vs Birmingham Legion?
On our numbers Monterey Bay have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Birmingham Legion 40%.
How many goals will there be in Monterey Bay vs Birmingham Legion?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monterey Bay vs Birmingham Legion?
Our predicted score is Monterey Bay 1–1 Birmingham Legion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Monterey Bay vs Birmingham Legion?
Monterey Bay vs Birmingham Legion (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Cardinale Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lexington1
San Antonio2
Sacramento Republic1
New Mexico United1
Orange County SC3
Oakland Roots2
Las Vegas Lights2
Colorado Springs0