Loudoun United 65%Draw 20%Sporting JAX 15%Expected goals 2.40 – 1.04
65%
Betarazi pick
Loudoun United to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultLoudoun United to win ✗65% · @1.57
Double chanceLoudoun United or draw ✓85% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.41
Loudoun United vs Sporting JAX: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Loudoun United welcome Sporting JAX to Segra Field for a USL Championship fixture on Saturday 4 July (00:30 WAT). In the table, Loudoun United are 10th, lower half, on 31 points after 30 matches; Sporting JAX are 13th (in the drop zone) with 14. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Loudoun United, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Charleston Battery, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Sporting JAX, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Charleston Battery, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 3.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Loudoun United 2.4 xG, Sporting JAX 1.0 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Loudoun United 65%, draw 20%, Sporting JAX 15%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Loudoun United to win (65%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Loudoun United 2–1 Sporting JAX. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Loudoun United65%fair 1.54 · @1.57
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.95
Sporting JAX15%fair 6.77 · @4.80
3.44Expected goals
2.40Loudoun United xG
1.04Sporting JAX xG
64%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Loudoun United 2.4 – 1.0 Sporting JAX expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Loudoun United
Sporting JAX
Attack vs USL Championship average
-4%
-23%
Goals conceded vs average
+9%
+74%
Our expected goals here
2.52
1.02
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Loudoun United to win✗
65%
1.54
1.57
Double chance
Loudoun United or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.55
Draw no bet
Loudoun United (draw no bet)
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Loudoun United -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
First team to score
Loudoun United to score first✗
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Loudoun United ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Loudoun United / FT Loudoun United✗
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.41
–
Recent results
Loudoun United – last 6
LDLLWL
25 Jun
@ Charleston Battery
1–4
L
21 Jun
@ Birmingham Legion
1–1
D
13 Jun
vs Rhode Island
1–4
L
11 Jun
@ Greenville Triumph
1–3
L
6 Jun
vs Richmond Kickers
2–0
W
31 May
@ Monterey Bay
1–4
L
1.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sporting JAX – last 6
LLLLDW
21 Jun
vs Charleston Battery
2–5
L
14 Jun
vs Detroit City
2–6
L
11 Jun
@ Monterey Bay
1–2
L
7 Jun
vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–2
L
28 May
vs San Antonio
4–4
D
14 May
@ Sarasota Paradise
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Loudoun United and Sporting JAX.
What is the prediction for Loudoun United vs Sporting JAX?
Our pick is Loudoun United to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Loudoun United vs Sporting JAX?
On our numbers Loudoun United have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sporting JAX 15%.
How many goals will there be in Loudoun United vs Sporting JAX?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Loudoun United vs Sporting JAX?
Our predicted score is Loudoun United 2–1 Sporting JAX, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Loudoun United vs Sporting JAX?
Loudoun United vs Sporting JAX (USL Championship) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Segra Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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