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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Indy Eleven v Charleston Battery: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · Michael A. Carroll Stadium
2–0
FT
Indy Eleven 33%Draw 24%Charleston Battery 44% Expected goals 1.29 – 1.63
65%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.48Odds

Picks by market

ResultCharleston Battery to win ✗44% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.81

Indy Eleven vs Charleston Battery: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 4 July the USL Championship brings Indy Eleven against Charleston Battery at Michael A. Carroll Stadium. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Indy Eleven are 9th, lower half, on 34 points after 30 matches; Charleston Battery are 2nd (among the top four) with 53. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Indy Eleven, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Lexington, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Charleston Battery, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Loudoun United, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Indy Eleven 1.3 xG, Charleston Battery 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Indy Eleven 33%, draw 24%, Charleston Battery 44%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Indy Eleven 1–1 Charleston Battery. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Indy Eleven33%fair 3.07 · @2.55
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.60
Charleston Battery44%fair 2.29 · @2.30
2.92Expected goals
1.29Indy Eleven xG
1.63Charleston Battery xG
64%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%

From our goals model: Indy Eleven 1.3 – 1.6 Charleston Battery expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Indy ElevenCharleston Battery
Attack vs USL Championship average-20%+26%
Goals conceded vs average+4%-6%
Our expected goals here1.141.60

Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCharleston Battery to win ✗44%2.292.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.561.50
Draw no betCharleston Battery (draw no bet) ✗57%1.75–
Asian handicapIndy Eleven +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗57%1.761.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.551.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scoreCharleston Battery to score first ✗53%1.89–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT Charleston Battery / FT Charleston Battery ✗27%3.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.81–

Recent results

Indy Eleven – last 6

DLWWWW
21 Jun@ Lexington0–0D
14 Jun@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds0–1L
7 Junvs Forward Madison2–0W
31 Mayvs Rhode Island1–0W
24 Mayvs Lexington3–1W
10 Mayvs Sporting JAX2–1W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Charleston Battery – last 6

WWWDWL
25 Junvs Loudoun United4–1W
21 Jun@ Sporting JAX5–2W
14 Junvs FC Tulsa5–1W
11 Jun@ Tampa Bay Rowdies2–2D
30 Mayvs Detroit City2–0W
24 May@ New Mexico United0–1L
3.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Indy Eleven and Charleston Battery.

Indy Eleven vs Charleston Battery head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies301875+2661
2Charleston Battery301659+2153
3Detroit City301497+1351
4Louisville City301389+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds3013611+345
6Hartford Athletic3010137+243
7Rhode Island3012612+942
8Miami FC309912-1036
9Indy Eleven309714-634
10Loudoun United3061311-1031
11Birmingham Legion3061212-630
12Brooklyn305619-2921
13Sporting JAX303522-4614

More USL Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Indy Eleven vs Charleston Battery?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Indy Eleven vs Charleston Battery?

On our numbers Indy Eleven have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Charleston Battery 44%.

How many goals will there be in Indy Eleven vs Charleston Battery?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Indy Eleven vs Charleston Battery?

Our predicted score is Indy Eleven 1–1 Charleston Battery, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Indy Eleven vs Charleston Battery?

Indy Eleven vs Charleston Battery (USL Championship) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Michael A. Carroll Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.