Miami FC vs Indy Eleven: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 16 July the USL Championship brings Miami FC against Indy Eleven at Riccardo Silva Stadium. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Miami FC are 8th, lower half, on 36 points after 30 matches; Indy Eleven are 9th (lower half) with 34. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Miami FC, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Sarasota Paradise, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Indy Eleven, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Charleston Battery, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Indy Eleven, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Miami FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Miami FC 1.5 xG, Indy Eleven 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Miami FC 38%, draw 25%, Indy Eleven 38%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Miami FC 1–1 Indy Eleven. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Miami FC38%fair 2.66 · @2.80
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.40
Indy Eleven38%fair 2.65 · @2.25
2.75Expected goals
1.46Miami FC xG
1.29Indy Eleven xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Miami FC 1.5 – 1.3 Indy Eleven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Miami FC
Indy Eleven
Attack vs USL Championship average
+3%
-20%
Goals conceded vs average
+20%
+4%
Our expected goals here
1.62
1.17
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Indy Eleven to win✗
38%
2.65
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.60
Draw no bet
Indy Eleven (draw no bet)✗
50%
2.00
–
Asian handicap
Indy Eleven +1 (Asian handicap)✗
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Miami FC to score first✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Miami FC / FT Miami FC✓
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.90
–
Recent results
Miami FC – last 6
WDLDLW
12 Jul
@ Sarasota Paradise
5–0
W
6 Jul
vs Birmingham Legion
1–1
D
25 Jun
vs Orange County SC
2–4
L
14 Jun
@ Oakland Roots
0–0
D
31 May
@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0–2
L
24 May
vs Louisville City
4–3
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Indy Eleven – last 6
WDLWWW
4 Jul
vs Charleston Battery
2–0
W
21 Jun
@ Lexington
0–0
D
14 Jun
@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0–1
L
7 Jun
vs Forward Madison
2–0
W
31 May
vs Rhode Island
1–0
W
24 May
vs Lexington
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Miami FC and Indy Eleven.
What is the prediction for Miami FC vs Indy Eleven?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Miami FC vs Indy Eleven?
On our numbers Miami FC have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Indy Eleven 38%.
How many goals will there be in Miami FC vs Indy Eleven?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Miami FC vs Indy Eleven?
Our predicted score is Miami FC 1–1 Indy Eleven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Miami FC vs Indy Eleven?
Miami FC vs Indy Eleven (USL Championship) kicks off on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Riccardo Silva Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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