Double chancePittsburgh Riverhounds or draw ✗83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Sporting JAX vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Thursday 16 July: Sporting JAX v Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USL Championship, played at Hodges Stadium. In the table, Sporting JAX are 13th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 30 matches; Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 5th (upper half) with 45. There are 31 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sporting JAX, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Austin, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 3.5 conceded per game.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Loudoun United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Pittsburgh Riverhounds, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.2 for Sporting JAX.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Pittsburgh Riverhounds 3–2 Sporting JAX.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting JAX 0.9 xG, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting JAX 17%, draw 26%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 57%.
Lower-risk option: Pittsburgh Riverhounds or draw (83%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting JAX 1–1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting JAX17%fair 5.75 · @4.33
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.55
Pittsburgh Riverhounds57%fair 1.75 · @1.70
2.73Expected goals
0.91Sporting JAX xG
1.82Pittsburgh Riverhounds xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%
From our goals model: Sporting JAX 0.9 – 1.8 Pittsburgh Riverhounds expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sporting JAX
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Attack vs USL Championship average
-23%
-24%
Goals conceded vs average
+74%
-31%
Our expected goals here
0.80
1.62
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win✗
57%
1.75
1.70
Double chance
Pittsburgh Riverhounds or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.77
Draw no bet
Pittsburgh Riverhounds (draw no bet)✗
77%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Sporting JAX +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Pittsburgh Riverhounds to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Pittsburgh Riverhounds ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pittsburgh Riverhounds / FT Pittsburgh Riverhounds✗
What is the prediction for Sporting JAX vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Sporting JAX vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
On our numbers Sporting JAX have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Pittsburgh Riverhounds 57%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting JAX vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting JAX vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Our predicted score is Sporting JAX 1–1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Sporting JAX vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Sporting JAX vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds (USL Championship) kicks off on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Hodges Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lexington1
New Mexico United4