Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultLas Vegas Lights to win ✗40% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.48
Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Phoenix Rising travel to face Las Vegas Lights on Sunday 2 August in the USL Championship, with Cashman Field the venue – the ball rolls at 03:30 WAT. In the table, Las Vegas Lights are 11th, in the drop zone, on 36 points after 30 matches; Phoenix Rising are 8th (lower half) with 40.
Current form
Las Vegas Lights, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Detroit City, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Phoenix Rising, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Hartford Athletic, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Las Vegas Lights, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Phoenix Rising.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Las Vegas Lights 1.6 xG, Phoenix Rising 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Las Vegas Lights 40%, draw 24%, Phoenix Rising 36%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Las Vegas Lights 1–1 Phoenix Rising. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Las Vegas Lights40%fair 2.48 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.50
Phoenix Rising36%fair 2.78 · @2.45
3.05Expected goals
1.58Las Vegas Lights xG
1.47Phoenix Rising xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Las Vegas Lights 1.6 – 1.5 Phoenix Rising expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Las Vegas Lights
Phoenix Rising
Attack vs USL Championship average
-1%
+15%
Goals conceded vs average
+11%
+14%
Our expected goals here
1.70
1.55
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Las Vegas Lights to win✗
40%
2.48
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.55
Draw no bet
Las Vegas Lights (draw no bet)
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Phoenix Rising +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
First team to score
Las Vegas Lights to score first
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Las Vegas Lights / FT Las Vegas Lights✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.48
–
Recent results
Las Vegas Lights – last 6
WWWLLW
26 Jul
@ Detroit City
1–0
W
19 Jul
@ San Antonio
2–1
W
12 Jul
@ Monterey Bay
3–2
W
5 Jul
vs El Paso Locomotive
1–2
L
21 Jun
vs Orange County SC
2–3
L
14 Jun
@ Birmingham Legion
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Phoenix Rising – last 6
DWLLLD
26 Jul
vs Hartford Athletic
0–0
D
19 Jul
vs Monterey Bay
3–2
W
12 Jul
@ Alta
1–2
L
5 Jul
@ Colorado Springs
1–3
L
21 Jun
vs Oakland Roots
3–4
L
14 Jun
@ El Paso Locomotive
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Las Vegas Lights and Phoenix Rising.
What is the prediction for Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising?
On our numbers Las Vegas Lights have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Phoenix Rising 36%.
How many goals will there be in Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising?
Our predicted score is Las Vegas Lights 1–1 Phoenix Rising, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising?
Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at Cashman Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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