Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Sunday 2 August: Tampa Bay Rowdies v Louisville City in the USL Championship, played at Al Lang Stadium. In the table, Tampa Bay Rowdies are 1st, leading the league, on 61 points after 30 matches; Louisville City are 4th (among the top four) with 47. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tampa Bay Rowdies, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Miami FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Louisville City, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Birmingham Legion, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended Louisville City 0–2 Tampa Bay Rowdies.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tampa Bay Rowdies 1.7 xG, Louisville City 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tampa Bay Rowdies 51%, draw 24%, Louisville City 25%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tampa Bay Rowdies 1–1 Louisville City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tampa Bay Rowdies51%fair 1.95 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.55
Louisville City25%fair 4.02 · @3.35
2.81Expected goals
1.71Tampa Bay Rowdies xG
1.11Louisville City xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
1–26%
From our goals model: Tampa Bay Rowdies 1.7 – 1.1 Louisville City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Louisville City
Attack vs USL Championship average
+12%
+17%
Goals conceded vs average
-25%
-1%
Our expected goals here
1.66
1.07
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City?
On our numbers Tampa Bay Rowdies have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Louisville City 25%.
How many goals will there be in Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City?
Our predicted score is Tampa Bay Rowdies 1–1 Louisville City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City?
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Al Lang Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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