Double chanceSacramento Republic or draw ✓90% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.16
Sacramento Republic vs Sporting JAX: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
04:00 WAT, Sunday 2 August: Sacramento Republic v Sporting JAX in the USL Championship, played at Heart Health Park. In the table, Sacramento Republic are 2nd, among the top four, on 51 points after 30 matches; Sporting JAX are 13th (in the drop zone) with 14. There are 37 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sacramento Republic, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Oakland Roots, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Sporting JAX, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to El Paso Locomotive, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sacramento Republic, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Sporting JAX.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sacramento Republic 2.6 xG, Sporting JAX 0.8 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sacramento Republic 73%, draw 17%, Sporting JAX 10%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sacramento Republic to win (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sacramento Republic 2–0 Sporting JAX. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sacramento Republic73%fair 1.37 · @1.30
Draw17%fair 5.95 · @5.00
Sporting JAX10%fair 9.95 · @7.50
3.32Expected goals
2.57Sacramento Republic xG
0.75Sporting JAX xG
55%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
3–010%
1–09%
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Sacramento Republic 2.6 – 0.8 Sporting JAX expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sacramento Republic
Sporting JAX
Attack vs USL Championship average
+11%
-23%
Goals conceded vs average
-27%
+74%
Our expected goals here
2.91
0.68
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sacramento Republic to win✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Double chance
Sacramento Republic or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.80
Draw no bet
Sacramento Republic (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Sacramento Republic -1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.22
First team to score
Sacramento Republic to score first✓
75%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Sacramento Republic ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sacramento Republic / FT Sacramento Republic✓
53%
1.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.16
–
Recent results
Sacramento Republic – last 6
WDLWLW
26 Jul
@ Oakland Roots
3–1
W
19 Jul
@ Charleston Battery
1–1
D
12 Jul
@ Boise
0–2
L
9 Jul
vs Rhode Island
2–1
W
21 Jun
vs New Mexico United
0–1
L
14 Jun
@ Colorado Springs
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sporting JAX – last 6
LDWLDL
26 Jul
@ El Paso Locomotive
0–2
L
19 Jul
vs Brooklyn
2–2
D
16 Jul
vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2–1
W
8 Jul
@ Austin
0–4
L
4 Jul
@ Loudoun United
2–2
D
21 Jun
vs Charleston Battery
2–5
L
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sacramento Republic and Sporting JAX.
What is the prediction for Sacramento Republic vs Sporting JAX?
Our pick is Sacramento Republic to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Sacramento Republic vs Sporting JAX?
On our numbers Sacramento Republic have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Sporting JAX 10%.
How many goals will there be in Sacramento Republic vs Sporting JAX?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sacramento Republic vs Sporting JAX?
Our predicted score is Sacramento Republic 2–0 Sporting JAX, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Sacramento Republic vs Sporting JAX?
Sacramento Republic vs Sporting JAX (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Heart Health Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lexington3
Monterey Bay2
New Mexico United1
Colorado Springs0
Oakland Roots0
Orange County SC2
El Paso Locomotive0