Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: El Paso Locomotive to win @ 1.90 – our chance 61% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEl Paso Locomotive to win ✗61% · @1.90
Double chanceEl Paso Locomotive or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23
El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
El Paso Locomotive welcome FC Tulsa to Southwest University Park for a USL Championship fixture on Saturday 26 September (02:00 WAT). In the table, El Paso Locomotive are 3rd, among the top four, on 50 points after 30 matches; FC Tulsa are 7th (lower half) with 43.
Current form
El Paso Locomotive, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Phoenix Rising, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
FC Tulsa, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Brooklyn, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours El Paso Locomotive, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.3 for FC Tulsa.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Jul 2026) it ended FC Tulsa 1–0 El Paso Locomotive. The last 2 head-to-heads: El Paso Locomotive 0 wins, FC Tulsa 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give El Paso Locomotive 1.8 xG, FC Tulsa 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – El Paso Locomotive 61%, draw 21%, FC Tulsa 18%.
Lower-risk option: El Paso Locomotive or draw (82%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: El Paso Locomotive to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was El Paso Locomotive or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: El Paso Locomotive 1–0 FC Tulsa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
El Paso Locomotive61%fair 1.64 · @1.90
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.40
FC Tulsa18%fair 5.49 · @3.50
2.69Expected goals
1.82El Paso Locomotive xG
0.86FC Tulsa xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: El Paso Locomotive 1.8 – 0.9 FC Tulsa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa?
Our pick is El Paso Locomotive or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa?
On our numbers El Paso Locomotive have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Tulsa 18%.
How many goals will there be in El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa?
Our predicted score is El Paso Locomotive 1–0 FC Tulsa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa?
El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa (USL Championship) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Southwest University Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.