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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

El Paso Locomotive v FC Tulsa: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · Southwest University Park
1–1
FT
El Paso Locomotive 61%Draw 21%FC Tulsa 18% Expected goals 1.82 – 0.86
82%
Betarazi pick

El Paso Locomotive or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: El Paso Locomotive to win @ 1.90 – our chance 61% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultEl Paso Locomotive to win ✗61% · @1.90
Double chanceEl Paso Locomotive or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23

El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

El Paso Locomotive welcome FC Tulsa to Southwest University Park for a USL Championship fixture on Saturday 26 September (02:00 WAT). In the table, El Paso Locomotive are 3rd, among the top four, on 50 points after 30 matches; FC Tulsa are 7th (lower half) with 43.

Current form

El Paso Locomotive, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Phoenix Rising, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

FC Tulsa, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Brooklyn, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours El Paso Locomotive, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.3 for FC Tulsa.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Jul 2026) it ended FC Tulsa 1–0 El Paso Locomotive. The last 2 head-to-heads: El Paso Locomotive 0 wins, FC Tulsa 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give El Paso Locomotive 1.8 xG, FC Tulsa 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – El Paso Locomotive 61%, draw 21%, FC Tulsa 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: El Paso Locomotive or draw (82%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: El Paso Locomotive to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was El Paso Locomotive or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: El Paso Locomotive 1–0 FC Tulsa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

El Paso Locomotive61%fair 1.64 · @1.90
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.40
FC Tulsa18%fair 5.49 · @3.50
2.69Expected goals
1.82El Paso Locomotive xG
0.86FC Tulsa xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%

From our goals model: El Paso Locomotive 1.8 – 0.9 FC Tulsa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEl Paso Locomotive to win ✗61%1.641.90 ▲
Double chanceEl Paso Locomotive or draw ✓82%1.221.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.791.67
Draw no betEl Paso Locomotive (draw no bet)77%1.30–
Asian handicapEl Paso Locomotive -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.941.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.451.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.191.14
First team to scoreEl Paso Locomotive to score first63%1.58–
Half-time resultEl Paso Locomotive ahead at half-time ✗43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT El Paso Locomotive / FT El Paso Locomotive ✗38%2.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.23–

Recent results

El Paso Locomotive – last 6

WWWWWW
20 Sep@ Phoenix Rising3–1W
13 Sep@ Louisville City2–1W
30 Augvs Loudoun United4–1W
27 Augvs Pittsburgh Riverhounds2–1W
23 Aug@ Colorado Springs1–0W
16 Aug@ San Antonio3–0W
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

FC Tulsa – last 6

DLDWWL
20 Sep@ Brooklyn2–2D
13 Sep@ Phoenix Rising1–2L
6 Sep@ San Antonio0–0D
30 Augvs Rhode Island1–0W
23 Aug@ Orange County SC5–1W
16 Aug@ New Mexico United0–1L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Jul 2026FC Tulsa v El Paso Locomotive1–0
30 Apr 2026El Paso Locomotive v FC Tulsa1–4
El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1New Mexico United301578+1152
2Sacramento Republic3013125+1451
3El Paso Locomotive3015510+1050
4Lexington3014610+1848
5Colorado Springs301389+647
6San Antonio3011127+245
7FC Tulsa3011109+343
8Phoenix Rising30101010-140
9Orange County SC3010911-1039
10Oakland Roots3091110-138
11Las Vegas Lights3010614-736
12Monterey Bay306618-2024

More USL Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa?

Our pick is El Paso Locomotive or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa?

On our numbers El Paso Locomotive have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Tulsa 18%.

How many goals will there be in El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa?

Our predicted score is El Paso Locomotive 1–0 FC Tulsa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa?

El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa (USL Championship) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Southwest University Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.