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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hartford Athletic v Louisville City: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · Trinity Health Stadium
Hartford Athletic 38%Draw 21%Louisville City 42% Expected goals 1.28 – 1.36
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultLouisville City to win ✗42% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.81

Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Louisville City travel to face Hartford Athletic on Saturday 26 September in the USL Championship, with Trinity Health Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Hartford Athletic are 6th, upper half, on 43 points after 30 matches; Louisville City are 4th (among the top four) with 47.

Current form

Hartford Athletic, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Las Vegas Lights, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Louisville City, last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Loudoun United, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Hartford Athletic, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Louisville City.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Jul 2026) it ended Louisville City 1–0 Hartford Athletic.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hartford Athletic 1.3 xG, Louisville City 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hartford Athletic 38%, draw 21%, Louisville City 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hartford Athletic 1–1 Louisville City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hartford Athletic38%fair 2.66 · @2.60
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.50
Louisville City42%fair 2.40 · @2.25
2.64Expected goals
1.28Hartford Athletic xG
1.36Louisville City xG
63%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Hartford Athletic 1.3 – 1.4 Louisville City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLouisville City to win ✗42%2.402.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.261.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.601.57
Draw no betLouisville City (draw no bet)53%1.90–
Asian handicapHartford Athletic +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.97–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73%1.37–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreLouisville City to score first ✗48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Louisville City / FT Louisville City ✗23%4.42–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.81–

Recent results

Hartford Athletic – last 6

DWWWDW
20 Sep@ Las Vegas Lights1–1D
16 Sepvs Sporting JAX2–0W
13 Sepvs Tampa Bay Rowdies3–1W
9 Sepvs Colorado Springs2–1W
6 Sep@ Detroit City1–1D
3 Sep@ Charleston Battery2–1W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Louisville City – last 6

WLDDDL
20 Sepvs Loudoun United2–1W
13 Sepvs El Paso Locomotive1–2L
9 Sep@ San Antonio0–0D
6 Sep@ Rhode Island1–1D
30 Augvs Detroit City0–0D
23 Aug@ Indy Eleven1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Jul 2026Louisville City v Hartford Athletic1–0
Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies301875+2661
2Charleston Battery301659+2153
3Detroit City301497+1351
4Louisville City301389+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds3013611+345
6Hartford Athletic3010137+243
7Rhode Island3012612+942
8Miami FC309912-1036
9Indy Eleven309714-634
10Loudoun United3061311-1031
11Birmingham Legion3061212-630
12Brooklyn305619-2921
13Sporting JAX303522-4614

More USL Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City?

On our numbers Hartford Athletic have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Louisville City 42%.

How many goals will there be in Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City?

Our predicted score is Hartford Athletic 1–1 Louisville City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City?

Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City (USL Championship) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Trinity Health Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.