Sporting JAX 38%Draw 20%Loudoun United 42%Expected goals 1.62 – 1.73
67%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Sporting JAX to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLoudoun United to win ✓42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.76
Sporting JAX vs Loudoun United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Sporting JAX v Loudoun United in the USL Championship, played at Hodges Stadium. In the table, Sporting JAX are 13th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 30 matches; Loudoun United are 10th (lower half) with 31. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sporting JAX, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Hartford Athletic, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Loudoun United, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Louisville City, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sporting JAX, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Loudoun United.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Jul 2026) it ended Loudoun United 2–2 Sporting JAX.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting JAX 1.6 xG, Loudoun United 1.7 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 67% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting JAX 38%, draw 20%, Loudoun United 42%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Sporting JAX to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting JAX 1–1 Loudoun United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting JAX38%fair 2.65 · @2.88
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @3.70
Loudoun United42%fair 2.36 · @2.05
3.35Expected goals
1.62Sporting JAX xG
1.73Loudoun United xG
67%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Sporting JAX 1.6 – 1.7 Loudoun United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sporting JAX vs Loudoun United?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Sporting JAX vs Loudoun United?
On our numbers Sporting JAX have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Loudoun United 42%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting JAX vs Loudoun United?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting JAX vs Loudoun United?
Our predicted score is Sporting JAX 1–1 Loudoun United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Sporting JAX vs Loudoun United?
Sporting JAX vs Loudoun United (USL Championship) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Hodges Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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