Las Vegas Lights v Lexington: numbers & prediction

Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

03:30 WAT, Sunday 18 October: Las Vegas Lights v Lexington in the USL Championship, played at Cashman Field. In the table, Las Vegas Lights are 11th, in the drop zone, on 36 points after 30 matches; Lexington are 4th (among the top four) with 48. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Las Vegas Lights, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Phoenix Rising, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Lexington, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with FC Tulsa, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately.

Momentum favours Lexington, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Las Vegas Lights.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Aug 2026) it ended Lexington 2–0 Las Vegas Lights. The last 2 head-to-heads: Las Vegas Lights 1 win, Lexington 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Las Vegas Lights 1.3 xG, Lexington 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – Las Vegas Lights 33%, draw 21%, Lexington 46%.
• GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Las Vegas Lights 1–1 Lexington. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.