Orange County SC v Phoenix Rising: numbers & prediction

Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Phoenix Rising travel to face Orange County SC on Sunday 18 October in the USL Championship, with Championship Soccer Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 03:00 WAT. In the table, Orange County SC are 9th, lower half, on 39 points after 30 matches; Phoenix Rising are 8th (lower half) with 40. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Orange County SC, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to El Paso Locomotive, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Phoenix Rising, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Las Vegas Lights, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Phoenix Rising, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Orange County SC.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Phoenix Rising 2–1 Orange County SC. The last 3 head-to-heads: Orange County SC 0 wins, Phoenix Rising 1, draws 2. Those games averaged 2.3 goals and saw GG land 3 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Orange County SC 1.3 xG, Phoenix Rising 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – Orange County SC 31%, draw 21%, Phoenix Rising 47%.
• GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orange County SC 1–1 Phoenix Rising. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.