Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultOne Knoxville to win ✓39% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.51
Naples vs One Knoxville: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 3 May the USL League One brings Naples against One Knoxville at Paradise Coast Sports Complex. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Naples are 8th, upper half, on 46 points after 32 matches; One Knoxville are 6th (upper half) with 54.
Current form
Naples, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Miami FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
One Knoxville, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Columbus Crew, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Naples 1.1 xG, One Knoxville 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Naples 34%, draw 28%, One Knoxville 39%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Naples 1–1 One Knoxville. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Naples34%fair 2.94 · @2.62
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @2.95
One Knoxville39%fair 2.60 · @2.62
2.30Expected goals
1.09Naples xG
1.21One Knoxville xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Naples 1.1 – 1.2 One Knoxville expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
One Knoxville to win✓
39%
2.60
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.93
Draw no bet
One Knoxville (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Naples +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
One Knoxville to score first✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT One Knoxville / FT One Knoxville✓
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.51
–
Recent results
Naples – last 6
LLWWWL
30 Apr
@ Miami FC
1–4
L
16 Apr
vs Orlando City SC
0–1
L
12 Apr
vs Sarasota Paradise
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Greenville Triumph
1–0
W
1 Apr
vs America CFL Spurs
3–0
W
29 Mar
vs Forward Madison
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
One Knoxville – last 6
LWDWWD
30 Apr
@ Columbus Crew
1–4
L
19 Apr
vs Charlotte Independence
2–1
W
11 Apr
@ Portland Hearts of Pine
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Sarasota Paradise
2–1
W
28 Mar
vs Richmond Kickers
1–0
W
25 Mar
vs Corpus Christi
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naples and One Knoxville.
What is the prediction for Naples vs One Knoxville?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Naples vs One Knoxville?
On our numbers Naples have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 28% and One Knoxville 39%.
How many goals will there be in Naples vs One Knoxville?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naples vs One Knoxville?
Our predicted score is Naples 1–1 One Knoxville, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Naples vs One Knoxville?
Naples vs One Knoxville (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Paradise Coast Sports Complex.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
