Union Omaha 58%Draw 22%Greenville Triumph 19%Expected goals 2.08 – 1.01
81%
Betarazi pick
Union Omaha or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Union Omaha to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUnion Omaha to win ✓58% · @1.85
Double chanceUnion Omaha or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Union Omaha vs Greenville Triumph: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Union Omaha welcome Greenville Triumph to Werner Park for a USL League One fixture on Sunday 3 May (01:00 WAT). In the table, Union Omaha are 2nd, among the top four, on 62 points after 32 matches; Greenville Triumph are 15th (in the drop zone) with 30. There are 32 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Union Omaha, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Indy Eleven, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Greenville Triumph, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Pittsburgh Riverhounds, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Union Omaha, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Greenville Triumph.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union Omaha 2.1 xG, Greenville Triumph 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union Omaha 58%, draw 22%, Greenville Triumph 19%.
Lower-risk option: Union Omaha or draw (81%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Union Omaha to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Union Omaha or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Omaha 2–1 Greenville Triumph. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union Omaha58%fair 1.72 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.55
Greenville Triumph19%fair 5.14 · @3.50
3.09Expected goals
2.08Union Omaha xG
1.01Greenville Triumph xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–110%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Union Omaha 2.1 – 1.0 Greenville Triumph expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Omaha to win✓
58%
1.72
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Union Omaha or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.55
Draw no bet
Union Omaha (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Union Omaha -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Union Omaha to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Union Omaha ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Omaha / FT Union Omaha✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Recent results
Union Omaha – last 6
WLLWWW
26 Apr
@ Indy Eleven
2–1
W
18 Apr
@ Richmond Kickers
1–2
L
15 Apr
@ Colorado Rapids
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Alta
3–1
W
1 Apr
@ Indy Eleven
2–1
W
19 Mar
@ BOHFS St. Louis
8–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Greenville Triumph – last 6
LLWWLL
26 Apr
@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0–3
L
5 Apr
@ Naples
0–1
L
30 Mar
vs Westchester SC
4–2
W
26 Mar
vs NY Cosmos
3–2
W
18 Mar
@ Asheville City
1–3
L
15 Mar
vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Omaha and Greenville Triumph.
What is the prediction for Union Omaha vs Greenville Triumph?
Our pick is Union Omaha or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Union Omaha vs Greenville Triumph?
On our numbers Union Omaha have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Greenville Triumph 19%.
How many goals will there be in Union Omaha vs Greenville Triumph?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Omaha vs Greenville Triumph?
Our predicted score is Union Omaha 2–1 Greenville Triumph, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Union Omaha vs Greenville Triumph?
Union Omaha vs Greenville Triumph (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Werner Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
