Value bet: Forward Madison to win @ 2.60 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultForward Madison to win ✗42% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.96
Alta vs Forward Madison: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
03:30 WAT, Sunday 10 May: Alta v Forward Madison in the USL League One, played at Lancaster Municipal Stadium. In the table, Alta are 13th, lower half, on 34 points after 32 matches; Forward Madison are 4th (among the top four) with 56. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Alta, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to New Mexico United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Forward Madison, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Sarasota Paradise, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Forward Madison, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Alta.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alta 1.2 xG, Forward Madison 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alta 33%, draw 25%, Forward Madison 42%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Forward Madison to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alta 1–1 Forward Madison. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alta33%fair 3.03 · @2.35
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.45
Forward Madison42%fair 2.39 · @2.60
2.68Expected goals
1.17Alta xG
1.51Forward Madison xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Alta 1.2 – 1.5 Forward Madison expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Forward Madison to win✗
42%
2.39
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.55
Draw no bet
Forward Madison (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Alta +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Forward Madison to score first✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Forward Madison / FT Forward Madison✗
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.96
–
Recent results
Alta – last 6
LDLLDD
26 Apr
@ New Mexico United
1–2
L
12 Apr
vs Boise
2–2
D
8 Apr
@ Spokane Velocity
1–3
L
5 Apr
vs Union Omaha
1–3
L
29 Mar
vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2–2
D
22 Mar
vs Portland Hearts of Pine
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Forward Madison – last 5
WLWLW
3 May
@ Sarasota Paradise
3–1
W
26 Apr
@ Lexington
2–4
L
29 Mar
@ Naples
1–0
W
19 Mar
@ Flint City Bucks
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ One Knoxville
2–1
W
1.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alta and Forward Madison.
What is the prediction for Alta vs Forward Madison?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Alta vs Forward Madison?
On our numbers Alta have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Forward Madison 42%.
How many goals will there be in Alta vs Forward Madison?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alta vs Forward Madison?
Our predicted score is Alta 1–1 Forward Madison, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Alta vs Forward Madison?
Alta vs Forward Madison (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at Lancaster Municipal Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
