Spokane Velocity vs Naples: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 10 May the USL League One brings Spokane Velocity against Naples at One Spokane Stadium. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Spokane Velocity are 5th, upper half, on 54 points after 32 matches; Naples are 8th (upper half) with 46.
Current form
Spokane Velocity, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Corpus Christi, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Naples, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to One Knoxville, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spokane Velocity 1.6 xG, Naples 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spokane Velocity 55%, draw 25%, Naples 20%.
Lower-risk option: Spokane Velocity or draw (80%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spokane Velocity 1–0 Naples. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spokane Velocity55%fair 1.82 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.25
Naples20%fair 4.89 · @3.90
2.60Expected goals
1.65Spokane Velocity xG
0.95Naples xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Spokane Velocity 1.6 – 1.0 Naples expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spokane Velocity to win
55%
1.82
1.85
Double chance
Spokane Velocity or draw
80%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.79
1.83
Draw no bet
Spokane Velocity (draw no bet)
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Naples +1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.88
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Spokane Velocity to score first
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spokane Velocity / FT Spokane Velocity
33%
3.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.41
–
Recent results
Spokane Velocity – last 6
DLWWDL
3 May
@ Corpus Christi
0–0
D
26 Apr
@ Sacramento Republic
0–4
L
12 Apr
vs Richmond Kickers
3–1
W
8 Apr
vs Alta
3–1
W
5 Apr
@ Boise
1–1
D
28 Mar
@ Charlotte Independence
0–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Naples – last 6
LLLWWW
3 May
vs One Knoxville
0–3
L
30 Apr
@ Miami FC
1–4
L
16 Apr
vs Orlando City SC
0–1
L
12 Apr
vs Sarasota Paradise
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Greenville Triumph
1–0
W
1 Apr
vs America CFL Spurs
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spokane Velocity and Naples.
What is the prediction for Spokane Velocity vs Naples?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Spokane Velocity vs Naples?
On our numbers Spokane Velocity have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Naples 20%.
How many goals will there be in Spokane Velocity vs Naples?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spokane Velocity vs Naples?
Our predicted score is Spokane Velocity 1–0 Naples, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Spokane Velocity vs Naples?
Spokane Velocity vs Naples (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at One Spokane Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
