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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Corpus Christi v Charlotte Independence: numbers & prediction

USL League One · USA · Cabaniss Athletic Complex
Corpus Christi 32%Draw 22%Charlotte Independence 45% Expected goals 1.30 – 1.81
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Charlotte Independence to win @ 2.70 – our chance 45% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultCharlotte Independence to win ✓45% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.53

Corpus Christi vs Charlotte Independence: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Corpus Christi welcome Charlotte Independence to Cabaniss Athletic Complex for a USL League One fixture on Sunday 10 May (01:30 WAT). In the table, Corpus Christi are 12th, lower half, on 37 points after 32 matches; Charlotte Independence are 1st (leading the league) with 66. There are 29 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Corpus Christi, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Spokane Velocity, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Charlotte Independence, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Boise, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Corpus Christi 1.3 xG, Charlotte Independence 1.8 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Corpus Christi 32%, draw 22%, Charlotte Independence 45%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.57.
  • Price worth noting: Charlotte Independence to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 45%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Corpus Christi 1–1 Charlotte Independence. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Corpus Christi32%fair 3.11 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.55
Charlotte Independence45%fair 2.20 · @2.70
3.11Expected goals
1.30Corpus Christi xG
1.81Charlotte Independence xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Corpus Christi 1.3 – 1.8 Charlotte Independence expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCharlotte Independence to win ✓45%2.202.70 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.661.57
Draw no betCharlotte Independence (draw no bet) ✓59%1.71–
Asian handicapCorpus Christi +1 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.261.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.741.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.561.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
First team to scoreCharlotte Independence to score first56%1.80–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.60–
Half-time / full-timeHT Charlotte Independence / FT Charlotte Independence ✓30%3.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.53–

Recent results

Corpus Christi – last 6

DWLLDD
3 Mayvs Spokane Velocity0–0D
26 Apr@ Chattanooga Red Wolves1–0W
22 Apr@ Sarasota Paradise1–2L
5 Apr@ Westchester SC1–5L
25 Mar@ One Knoxville0–0D
15 Mar@ Naples2–2D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Charlotte Independence – last 6

WDLLLD
7 Mayvs Boise1–0W
3 May@ Fort Wayne2–2D
19 Apr@ One Knoxville1–2L
16 Apr@ Charlotte0–6L
4 Apr@ NY Cosmos2–3L
1 Aprvs Charleston Battery2–2D
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Corpus Christi and Charlotte Independence.

Corpus Christi vs Charlotte Independence head-to-head page →

USL League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Charlotte Independence322066+2866
2Union Omaha321958+2062
3Boise321778+1058
4Forward Madison321688+2456
5Spokane Velocity3216610+654
6One Knoxville321598+1654
7Chattanooga Red Wolves3214513+647
8Naples3214414-746
9Fort Wayne3212911+545
10Westchester SC3211714+440
11Sarasota Paradise3211714-240
12Corpus Christi3291013-1537
13Alta3281014-834
14Portland Hearts of Pine3281014-1034
15Greenville Triumph328618-2330
16NY Cosmos327619-2627
17Richmond Kickers327520-2826

More USL League One predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Corpus Christi vs Charlotte Independence?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Corpus Christi vs Charlotte Independence?

On our numbers Corpus Christi have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Charlotte Independence 45%.

How many goals will there be in Corpus Christi vs Charlotte Independence?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Corpus Christi vs Charlotte Independence?

Our predicted score is Corpus Christi 1–1 Charlotte Independence, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Corpus Christi vs Charlotte Independence?

Corpus Christi vs Charlotte Independence (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Cabaniss Athletic Complex.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.