Charlotte Independence 62%Draw 21%Sarasota Paradise 17%Expected goals 2.10 – 1.03
62%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultCharlotte Independence to win ✓62% · @1.57
Double chanceCharlotte Independence or draw ✓83% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Charlotte Independence vs Sarasota Paradise: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Sunday 16 August: Charlotte Independence v Sarasota Paradise in the USL League One, played at American Legion Memorial Stadium. In the table, Charlotte Independence are 1st, leading the league, on 66 points after 32 matches; Sarasota Paradise are 11th (lower half) with 40. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Charlotte Independence, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Hartford Athletic, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Sarasota Paradise, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to One Knoxville, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Charlotte Independence, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Sarasota Paradise.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Charlotte Independence 2.1 xG, Sarasota Paradise 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Charlotte Independence 62%, draw 21%, Sarasota Paradise 17%.
Lower-risk option: Charlotte Independence or draw (83%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Charlotte Independence 2–1 Sarasota Paradise. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Charlotte Independence62%fair 1.62 · @1.57
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @4.10
Sarasota Paradise17%fair 5.78 · @4.50
3.13Expected goals
2.10Charlotte Independence xG
1.03Sarasota Paradise xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Charlotte Independence 2.1 – 1.0 Sarasota Paradise expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charlotte Independence to win✓
62%
1.62
1.57
Double chance
Charlotte Independence or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.55
Draw no bet
Charlotte Independence (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Charlotte Independence -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
First team to score
Charlotte Independence to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Charlotte Independence ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charlotte Independence / FT Charlotte Independence✓
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
Charlotte Independence – last 6
LWWWLL
13 Aug
vs Hartford Athletic
2–4
L
9 Aug
vs Greenville Triumph
1–0
W
2 Aug
vs One Knoxville
3–1
W
26 Jul
vs Richmond Kickers
3–1
W
23 Jul
@ Spokane Velocity
0–3
L
19 Jul
vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2–4
L
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Sarasota Paradise – last 6
LLDDLW
9 Aug
@ One Knoxville
1–2
L
12 Jul
vs Miami FC
0–5
L
9 Jul
@ Greenville Triumph
0–0
D
4 Jul
@ Richmond Kickers
0–0
D
21 Jun
@ Corpus Christi
1–4
L
14 Jun
vs Union Omaha
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Charlotte Independence and Sarasota Paradise.
What is the prediction for Charlotte Independence vs Sarasota Paradise?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Charlotte Independence vs Sarasota Paradise?
On our numbers Charlotte Independence have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sarasota Paradise 17%.
How many goals will there be in Charlotte Independence vs Sarasota Paradise?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charlotte Independence vs Sarasota Paradise?
Our predicted score is Charlotte Independence 2–1 Sarasota Paradise, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Charlotte Independence vs Sarasota Paradise?
Charlotte Independence vs Sarasota Paradise (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at American Legion Memorial Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
