Greenville Triumph v One Knoxville Prediction & Expected Goals (16 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultOne Knoxville to win ✗48% · @2.05

Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.65

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.76

Greenville Triumph vs One Knoxville: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Greenville Triumph welcome One Knoxville to Paladin Stadium for a USL League One fixture on Sunday 16 August (00:00 WAT). In the table, Greenville Triumph are 15th, in the drop zone, on 30 points after 32 matches; One Knoxville are 6th (upper half) with 54. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Greenville Triumph, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Forward Madison, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

One Knoxville, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sarasota Paradise, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (29 May 2026) it ended One Knoxville 2–0 Greenville Triumph.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Greenville Triumph 1.2 xG, One Knoxville 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Greenville Triumph 31%, draw 21%, One Knoxville 48%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Greenville Triumph 1–1 One Knoxville. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Greenville Triumph31%fair 3.25 · @3.10

Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.40

One Knoxville48%fair 2.09 · @2.05

2.78Expected goals

1.20Greenville Triumph xG

1.58One Knoxville xG

60%Both score

52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–110%

1–29%

0–28%

1–07%

2–17%

From our goals model: Greenville Triumph 1.2 – 1.6 One Knoxville expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	One Knoxville to win ✗	48%	2.09	2.05
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	79%	1.27	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	60%	1.66	1.65
Draw no bet	One Knoxville (draw no bet)	61%	1.64	–
Asian handicap	Greenville Triumph +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	69%	1.44	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	75%	1.33	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	52%	1.92	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	69%	1.44	1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	85%	1.18	–
First team to score	One Knoxville to score first	53%	1.88	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	41%	2.42	–
Half-time / full-time	HT One Knoxville / FT One Knoxville ✗	28%	3.62	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	10.76	–

Greenville Triumph – last 6

DLDWLL

13 Aug	@ Forward Madison	1–1	D
9 Aug	@ Charlotte Independence	0–1	L
2 Aug	vs Portland Hearts of Pine	3–3	D
30 Jul	vs Boise	3–2	W
26 Jul	@ Corpus Christi	0–1	L
19 Jul	@ Fort Wayne	0–3	L

1.2Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

One Knoxville – last 6

WLLLWD

9 Aug	vs Sarasota Paradise	2–1	W
2 Aug	@ Charlotte Independence	1–3	L
26 Jul	@ Chattanooga Red Wolves	0–1	L
19 Jul	vs Alta	2–3	L
15 Jul	vs Fort Wayne	2–1	W
12 Jul	@ Corpus Christi	1–1	D

1.3Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

83%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Charlotte Independence	32	20	6	6	+28	66
2	Union Omaha	32	19	5	8	+20	62
3	Boise	32	17	7	8	+10	58
4	Forward Madison	32	16	8	8	+24	56
5	Spokane Velocity	32	16	6	10	+6	54
6	One Knoxville	32	15	9	8	+16	54
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	32	14	5	13	+6	47
8	Naples	32	14	4	14	-7	46
9	Fort Wayne	32	12	9	11	+5	45
10	Westchester SC	32	11	7	14	+4	40
11	Sarasota Paradise	32	11	7	14	-2	40
12	Corpus Christi	32	9	10	13	-15	37
13	Alta	32	8	10	14	-8	34
14	Portland Hearts of Pine	32	8	10	14	-10	34
15	Greenville Triumph	32	8	6	18	-23	30
16	NY Cosmos	32	7	6	19	-26	27
17	Richmond Kickers	32	7	5	20	-28	26

Team

Pts

Charlotte Independence

+28

+20

+10

+24

+16

Chattanooga Red Wolves

-7

-2

-15

-8

Portland Hearts of Pine

-10

Greenville Triumph

-23

NY Cosmos

-26

Richmond Kickers

-28

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Greenville Triumph vs One Knoxville?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Greenville Triumph vs One Knoxville?

On our numbers Greenville Triumph have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and One Knoxville 48%.

How many goals will there be in Greenville Triumph vs One Knoxville?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Greenville Triumph vs One Knoxville?

Our predicted score is Greenville Triumph 1–1 One Knoxville, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Greenville Triumph vs One Knoxville?

Greenville Triumph vs One Knoxville (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Paladin Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Greenville Triumph v One Knoxville: numbers & prediction