Portland Hearts of Pine 33%Draw 21%Forward Madison 46%Expected goals 1.37 – 1.69
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultForward Madison to win ✓46% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.91
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Forward Madison: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 16 August the USL League One brings Portland Hearts of Pine against Forward Madison at Fitzpatrick Stadium. Kick-off: 23:30 WAT. In the table, Portland Hearts of Pine are 14th, lower half, on 34 points after 32 matches; Forward Madison are 4th (among the top four) with 56. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Portland Hearts of Pine, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Corpus Christi, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Forward Madison, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Greenville Triumph, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Momentum favours Forward Madison, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Portland Hearts of Pine.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Portland Hearts of Pine 1.4 xG, Forward Madison 1.7 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Portland Hearts of Pine 33%, draw 21%, Forward Madison 46%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portland Hearts of Pine 1–1 Forward Madison. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Portland Hearts of Pine33%fair 3.08 · @2.75
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.45
Forward Madison46%fair 2.16 · @2.25
3.06Expected goals
1.37Portland Hearts of Pine xG
1.69Forward Madison xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Portland Hearts of Pine 1.4 – 1.7 Forward Madison expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Forward Madison to win✓
46%
2.16
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.50
Draw no bet
Forward Madison (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Portland Hearts of Pine +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
First team to score
Forward Madison to score first✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Forward Madison / FT Forward Madison✓
27%
3.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.91
–
Recent results
Portland Hearts of Pine – last 6
LDLLDW
9 Aug
vs Corpus Christi
0–2
L
2 Aug
@ Greenville Triumph
3–3
D
23 Jul
vs Union Omaha
1–2
L
18 Jul
@ Boise
1–2
L
12 Jul
vs NY Cosmos
1–1
D
4 Jul
@ Naples
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Forward Madison – last 6
DLWWWW
13 Aug
vs Greenville Triumph
1–1
D
9 Aug
@ Boise
1–2
L
2 Aug
vs Westchester SC
2–0
W
30 Jul
vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
5–2
W
26 Jul
vs Naples
3–1
W
16 Jul
vs Richmond Kickers
4–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portland Hearts of Pine and Forward Madison.
What is the prediction for Portland Hearts of Pine vs Forward Madison?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Portland Hearts of Pine vs Forward Madison?
On our numbers Portland Hearts of Pine have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Forward Madison 46%.
How many goals will there be in Portland Hearts of Pine vs Forward Madison?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portland Hearts of Pine vs Forward Madison?
Our predicted score is Portland Hearts of Pine 1–1 Forward Madison, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Portland Hearts of Pine vs Forward Madison?
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Forward Madison (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Fitzpatrick Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
