Charlotte Independence 65%Draw 22%NY Cosmos 12%Expected goals 2.46 – 1.07
65%
Betarazi pick
Charlotte Independence to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultCharlotte Independence to win ✓65% · @1.44
Double chanceCharlotte Independence or draw ✓88% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.35
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.46
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.53
Charlotte Independence vs NY Cosmos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
NY Cosmos travel to face Charlotte Independence on Sunday 11 October in the USL League One, with American Legion Memorial Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Charlotte Independence are 1st, leading the league, on 66 points after 32 matches; NY Cosmos are 16th (in the drop zone) with 27. There are 39 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Charlotte Independence, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Sarasota Paradise, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
NY Cosmos, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Naples, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Charlotte Independence, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for NY Cosmos.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Apr 2026) it ended NY Cosmos 3–2 Charlotte Independence.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Charlotte Independence 2.5 xG, NY Cosmos 1.1 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Charlotte Independence 65%, draw 22%, NY Cosmos 12%.
Lower-risk option: Charlotte Independence or draw (88%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.35.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Charlotte Independence to win (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Charlotte Independence 2–1 NY Cosmos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Charlotte Independence65%fair 1.53 · @1.44
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @4.40
NY Cosmos12%fair 8.05 · @5.00
3.53Expected goals
2.46Charlotte Independence xG
1.07NY Cosmos xG
63%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
1–18%
3–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Charlotte Independence 2.5 – 1.1 NY Cosmos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charlotte Independence to win✓
65%
1.53
1.44
Double chance
Charlotte Independence or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.35
Draw no bet
Charlotte Independence (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Charlotte Independence -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
First team to score
Charlotte Independence to score first✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Charlotte Independence ahead at half-time✓
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charlotte Independence / FT Charlotte Independence✓
What is the prediction for Charlotte Independence vs NY Cosmos?
Our pick is Charlotte Independence to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Charlotte Independence vs NY Cosmos?
On our numbers Charlotte Independence have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and NY Cosmos 12%.
How many goals will there be in Charlotte Independence vs NY Cosmos?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charlotte Independence vs NY Cosmos?
Our predicted score is Charlotte Independence 2–1 NY Cosmos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Charlotte Independence vs NY Cosmos?
Charlotte Independence vs NY Cosmos (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at American Legion Memorial Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
