Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultSarasota Paradise to win ✓66% · @1.44
Double chanceSarasota Paradise or draw ✓87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Sarasota Paradise vs Richmond Kickers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 11 October the USL League One brings Sarasota Paradise against Richmond Kickers at Premier Sports Campus. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, Sarasota Paradise are 11th, lower half, on 40 points after 32 matches; Richmond Kickers are 17th (in the drop zone) with 26. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sarasota Paradise, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Charlotte Independence, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Richmond Kickers, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Naples, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sarasota Paradise, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Richmond Kickers.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Jul 2026) it ended Richmond Kickers 0–0 Sarasota Paradise.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sarasota Paradise 2.2 xG, Richmond Kickers 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sarasota Paradise 66%, draw 21%, Richmond Kickers 13%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sarasota Paradise to win (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarasota Paradise 2–0 Richmond Kickers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sarasota Paradise66%fair 1.51 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @4.00
Richmond Kickers13%fair 7.80 · @5.00
3.02Expected goals
2.16Sarasota Paradise xG
0.86Richmond Kickers xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sarasota Paradise 2.2 – 0.9 Richmond Kickers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sarasota Paradise vs Richmond Kickers?
Our pick is Sarasota Paradise to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Sarasota Paradise vs Richmond Kickers?
On our numbers Sarasota Paradise have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Richmond Kickers 13%.
How many goals will there be in Sarasota Paradise vs Richmond Kickers?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarasota Paradise vs Richmond Kickers?
Our predicted score is Sarasota Paradise 2–0 Richmond Kickers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Sarasota Paradise vs Richmond Kickers?
Sarasota Paradise vs Richmond Kickers (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Premier Sports Campus.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
