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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

One Knoxville v Spokane Velocity: numbers & prediction

USL League One · USA · Regal Stadium
0–2
FT
One Knoxville 57%Draw 23%Spokane Velocity 20% Expected goals 1.82 – 0.99
80%
Betarazi pick

One Knoxville or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultOne Knoxville to win ✗57% · @1.80
Double chanceOne Knoxville or draw ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13

One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Spokane Velocity travel to face One Knoxville on Sunday 11 October in the USL League One, with Regal Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, One Knoxville are 6th, upper half, on 54 points after 32 matches; Spokane Velocity are 5th (upper half) with 54. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

One Knoxville, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Chattanooga Red Wolves, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Spokane Velocity, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Portland Hearts of Pine, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Jun 2026) it ended Spokane Velocity 0–4 One Knoxville.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give One Knoxville 1.8 xG, Spokane Velocity 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – One Knoxville 57%, draw 23%, Spokane Velocity 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: One Knoxville or draw (80%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was One Knoxville or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: One Knoxville 1–0 Spokane Velocity. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

One Knoxville57%fair 1.76 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.30
Spokane Velocity20%fair 4.97 · @3.70
2.81Expected goals
1.82One Knoxville xG
0.99Spokane Velocity xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%

From our goals model: One Knoxville 1.8 – 1.0 Spokane Velocity expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOne Knoxville to win ✗57%1.761.80
Double chanceOne Knoxville or draw ✗80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.751.65
Draw no betOne Knoxville (draw no bet) ✗74%1.35–
Asian handicapSpokane Velocity +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.88–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreOne Knoxville to score first ✗61%1.64–
Half-time resultOne Knoxville ahead at half-time ✗41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT One Knoxville / FT One Knoxville ✗35%2.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.13–

Recent results

One Knoxville – last 6

WLDLWD
8 Octvs Chattanooga Red Wolves3–0W
3 Oct@ Richmond Kickers2–3L
28 Sepvs Westchester SC0–0D
20 Sep@ Union Omaha1–2L
17 Sep@ Fort Wayne3–2W
12 Sepvs Naples0–0D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Spokane Velocity – last 6

DWWDLD
4 Octvs Portland Hearts of Pine3–3D
1 Oct@ Chattanooga Red Wolves1–0W
26 Sep@ Forward Madison1–0W
21 Sepvs Boise2–2D
16 Sep@ Union Omaha1–3L
6 Sep@ Sarasota Paradise1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Jun 2026Spokane Velocity v One Knoxville0–4
One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity head-to-head page →

USL League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Charlotte Independence322066+2866
2Union Omaha321958+2062
3Boise321778+1058
4Forward Madison321688+2456
5Spokane Velocity3216610+654
6One Knoxville321598+1654
7Chattanooga Red Wolves3214513+647
8Naples3214414-746
9Fort Wayne3212911+545
10Westchester SC3211714+440
11Sarasota Paradise3211714-240
12Corpus Christi3291013-1537
13Alta3281014-834
14Portland Hearts of Pine3281014-1034
15Greenville Triumph328618-2330
16NY Cosmos327619-2627
17Richmond Kickers327520-2826

More USL League One predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity?

Our pick is One Knoxville or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity?

On our numbers One Knoxville have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Spokane Velocity 20%.

How many goals will there be in One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity?

Our predicted score is One Knoxville 1–0 Spokane Velocity, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity?

One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Regal Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.