Monarcas 57%Draw 23%Venados FC 19%Expected goals 1.99 – 1.19
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultMonarcas to win ✓57% · @1.64
Double chanceMonarcas or draw ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.20
Monarcas vs Venados FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Sunday 15 February: Monarcas v Venados FC in the Liga De Expansión MX, played at Estadio Morelos. In the table, Monarcas are 3rd, among the top four, on 26 points after 15 matches; Venados FC are 6th (upper half) with 25. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Monarcas 2.0 xG, Venados FC 1.2 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Monarcas 57%, draw 23%, Venados FC 19%.
Lower-risk option: Monarcas or draw (81%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monarcas 1–1 Venados FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Monarcas57%fair 1.74 · @1.64
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.90
Venados FC19%fair 5.16 · @4.90
3.18Expected goals
1.99Monarcas xG
1.19Venados FC xG
62%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
3–17%
1–26%
From our goals model: Monarcas 2.0 – 1.2 Venados FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Monarcas
Venados FC
Attack vs Liga De Expansión MX average
-0%
+20%
Goals conceded vs average
-15%
+1%
Our expected goals here
1.87
1.24
Our own ratings from every Liga De Expansión MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monarcas to win✓
57%
1.74
1.64
Double chance
Monarcas or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.60
Draw no bet
Monarcas (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Venados FC +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
First team to score
Monarcas to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Monarcas ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monarcas / FT Monarcas✓
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.20
–
Recent results
Monarcas
No recent results on record.
Venados FC
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monarcas and Venados FC.
What is the prediction for Monarcas vs Venados FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Monarcas vs Venados FC?
On our numbers Monarcas have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Venados FC 19%.
How many goals will there be in Monarcas vs Venados FC?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monarcas vs Venados FC?
Our predicted score is Monarcas 1–1 Venados FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Monarcas vs Venados FC?
Monarcas vs Venados FC (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Morelos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
