Value bet: Cancún to win @ 2.28 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCancún to win ✓51% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Cancún vs Mineros de Zacatecas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 February the Liga De Expansión MX brings Cancún against Mineros de Zacatecas. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Cancún are 5th, upper half, on 25 points after 15 matches; Mineros de Zacatecas are 10th (lower half) with 18.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cancún 1.8 xG, Mineros de Zacatecas 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cancún 51%, draw 24%, Mineros de Zacatecas 25%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Cancún to win @2.28 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cancún 1–1 Mineros de Zacatecas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cancún51%fair 1.95 · @2.28
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.15
Mineros de Zacatecas25%fair 4.03 · @3.15
2.85Expected goals
1.83Cancún xG
1.02Mineros de Zacatecas xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
0–16%
From our goals model: Cancún 1.8 – 1.0 Mineros de Zacatecas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cancún
Mineros de Zacatecas
Attack vs Liga De Expansión MX average
+11%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
-20%
+9%
Our expected goals here
2.23
0.97
Our own ratings from every Liga De Expansión MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cancún to win✓
51%
1.95
2.28 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.77 ▲
Draw no bet
Cancún (draw no bet)✓
67%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
Mineros de Zacatecas +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
1.08
First team to score
Cancún to score first
60%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Cancún ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cancún / FT Cancún✓
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
Cancún
No recent results on record.
Mineros de Zacatecas
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cancún and Mineros de Zacatecas.
What is the prediction for Cancún vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Cancún vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
On our numbers Cancún have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mineros de Zacatecas 25%.
How many goals will there be in Cancún vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cancún vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
Our predicted score is Cancún 1–1 Mineros de Zacatecas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Cancún vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
Cancún vs Mineros de Zacatecas (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
