Venados FC 35%Draw 21%Atlante FC 44%Expected goals 1.65 – 1.52
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Venados FC to win @ 3.55 – our chance 35% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAtlante FC to win ✗44% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.48
Venados FC vs Atlante FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Saturday 28 March: Venados FC v Atlante FC in the Liga De Expansión MX, played at Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero.
Current form
Venados FC, last 4: LLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Tepatitlán, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Atlante FC, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Dorados, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Atlante FC, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.0 for Venados FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Venados FC 1.7 xG, Atlante FC 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Venados FC 35%, draw 21%, Atlante FC 44%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Venados FC to win @3.55 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Venados FC 1–1 Atlante FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Venados FC35%fair 2.88 · @3.55
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.80
Atlante FC44%fair 2.28 · @1.90
3.18Expected goals
1.65Venados FC xG
1.52Atlante FC xG
66%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Venados FC 1.7 – 1.5 Atlante FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Venados FC
Atlante FC
Attack vs Liga De Expansión MX average
+20%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
+1%
-14%
Our expected goals here
1.91
1.26
Our own ratings from every Liga De Expansión MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlante FC to win✗
44%
2.28
1.90
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.55
Draw no bet
Atlante FC (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Atlante FC +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.20
First team to score
Venados FC to score first
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Venados FC / FT Venados FC✓
25%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.48
–
Recent results
Venados FC – last 4
LLLL
21 Mar
@ Tepatitlán
0–2
L
7 Mar
vs Correcaminos Uat
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Mineros de Zacatecas
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Monarcas
1–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Atlante FC – last 6
WDWDWW
22 Mar
vs Dorados
2–0
W
19 Mar
@ Tlaxcala
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Monarcas
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Leones Negros UDG
1–1
D
26 Feb
@ Irapuato
5–0
W
22 Feb
vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Venados FC and Atlante FC.
What is the prediction for Venados FC vs Atlante FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Venados FC vs Atlante FC?
On our numbers Venados FC have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Atlante FC 44%.
How many goals will there be in Venados FC vs Atlante FC?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Venados FC vs Atlante FC?
Our predicted score is Venados FC 1–1 Atlante FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Venados FC vs Atlante FC?
Venados FC vs Atlante FC (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
