Irapuato 50%Draw 23%CA La Paz 27%Expected goals 1.76 – 1.44
81%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultIrapuato to win ✓50% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.99
Irapuato vs CA La Paz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Saturday 4 April: Irapuato v CA La Paz in the Liga De Expansión MX.
Current form
Irapuato, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Monarcas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
CA La Paz, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with CDS Tampico Madero, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours CA La Paz, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Irapuato.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Irapuato 1.8 xG, CA La Paz 1.4 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Irapuato 50%, draw 23%, CA La Paz 27%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Irapuato 1–1 CA La Paz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Irapuato50%fair 2.00 · @1.83
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.80
CA La Paz27%fair 3.69 · @3.85
3.20Expected goals
1.76Irapuato xG
1.44CA La Paz xG
62%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Irapuato 1.8 – 1.4 CA La Paz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Irapuato
CA La Paz
Attack vs Liga De Expansión MX average
+6%
+32%
Goals conceded vs average
+5%
-14%
Our expected goals here
1.68
1.69
Our own ratings from every Liga De Expansión MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Irapuato to win✓
50%
2.00
1.83
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.55
Draw no bet
Irapuato (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
CA La Paz +1 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
First team to score
Irapuato to score first
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Irapuato / FT Irapuato✗
28%
3.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.99
–
Recent results
Irapuato – last 6
LDLWLL
29 Mar
@ Monarcas
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs Cancún
2–2
D
14 Mar
@ Correcaminos Uat
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
6–2
W
26 Feb
vs Atlante FC
0–5
L
21 Feb
@ Tepatitlán
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
CA La Paz – last 6
DWDWWL
28 Mar
vs CDS Tampico Madero
1–1
D
21 Mar
vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
4–0
W
15 Mar
@ Cancún
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Tlaxcala
2–0
W
5 Mar
vs Leones Negros UDG
3–0
W
1 Mar
@ Monarcas
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Irapuato and CA La Paz.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Irapuato vs CA La Paz?
On our numbers Irapuato have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 23% and CA La Paz 27%.
How many goals will there be in Irapuato vs CA La Paz?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Irapuato vs CA La Paz?
Our predicted score is Irapuato 1–1 CA La Paz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Irapuato vs CA La Paz?
Irapuato vs CA La Paz (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
