Correcaminos Uat v Cancún Prediction & Expected Goals (4 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultCancún to win ✓40% · @2.62

Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.43

Correcaminos Uat vs Cancún: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Correcaminos Uat welcome Cancún for a Liga De Expansión MX fixture on Saturday 4 April (02:00 WAT). In the table, Correcaminos Uat are 12th, lower half, on 17 points after 15 matches; Cancún are 5th (upper half) with 25.

Current form

Correcaminos Uat, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Dorados, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Cancún, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Tepatitlán, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Correcaminos Uat 1.3 xG, Cancún 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Correcaminos Uat 35%, draw 25%, Cancún 40%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Correcaminos Uat 1–1 Cancún. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Correcaminos Uat35%fair 2.84 · @2.46

Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.55

Cancún40%fair 2.51 · @2.62

2.78Expected goals

1.31Correcaminos Uat xG

1.46Cancún xG

59%Both score

54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–19%

1–29%

1–08%

2–18%

0–27%

From our goals model: Correcaminos Uat 1.3 – 1.5 Cancún expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Correcaminos Uat	Cancún
Attack vs Liga De Expansión MX average	-19%	+11%
Goals conceded vs average	+5%	-20%
Our expected goals here	1.21	1.42

Correcaminos Uat

Cancún

Attack vs Liga De Expansión MX average

-19%

+11%

Goals conceded vs average

+5%

-20%

Our expected goals here

1.21

1.42

Our own ratings from every Liga De Expansión MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Cancún to win ✓	40%	2.51	2.62
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	75%	1.33	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	59%	1.70	1.57
Draw no bet	Cancún (draw no bet) ✓	53%	1.89	–
Asian handicap	Correcaminos Uat +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	75%	1.33	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	77%	1.31	1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	54%	1.86	1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	68%	1.47	1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	84%	1.20	1.15
First team to score	Cancún to score first ✓	49%	2.02	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	42%	2.41	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Cancún / FT Cancún ✓	24%	4.18	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.43	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Cancún to win ✓

40%

2.51

2.62

Double chance

Either team to win ✓

75%

1.33

1.25

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✓

59%

1.70

1.57

Draw no bet

Cancún (draw no bet) ✓

53%

1.89

–

Asian handicap

Correcaminos Uat +1 (Asian handicap) ✗

75%

1.33

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

77%

1.31

1.22

Over/under 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals ✓

54%

1.86

1.73

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✗

68%

1.47

1.42

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

84%

1.20

1.15

First team to score

Cancún to score first ✓

49%

2.02

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✗

42%

2.41

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Cancún / FT Cancún ✓

24%

4.18

–

Correct score

Correct score 1–2 ✗

11.43

–

Recent results

Head to head

Liga De Expansión MX table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CA La Paz	15	9	3	3	+18	30
2	Leones Negros UDG	15	9	3	3	+14	30
3	Monarcas	15	8	2	5	+7	26
4	Piratas	15	7	4	4	+12	25
5	Cancún	15	7	4	4	+10	25
6	Venados FC	15	7	4	4	+6	25
7	Durango	15	7	3	5	+6	24
8	Tlaxcala	15	6	4	5	+2	22
9	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	15	7	1	7	-10	22
10	Mineros de Zacatecas	15	5	3	7	0	18
11	Tapatío	15	5	3	7	-3	18
12	Correcaminos Uat	15	4	5	6	-3	17
13	Dorados	15	4	4	7	-9	16
14	CDS Tampico Madero	15	4	3	8	-10	15
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	15	3	5	7	-7	14
16	Tepatitlán	15	2	1	12	-33	7

Team

Pts

+18

+14

+12

+10

-10

-3

-3

-9

-10

-7

-33

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Correcaminos Uat vs Cancún?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Correcaminos Uat vs Cancún?

On our numbers Correcaminos Uat have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cancún 40%.

How many goals will there be in Correcaminos Uat vs Cancún?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Correcaminos Uat vs Cancún?

Our predicted score is Correcaminos Uat 1–1 Cancún, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Correcaminos Uat vs Cancún?

Correcaminos Uat vs Cancún (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

29 Mar	@ Dorados	1–2	L
19 Mar	@ CDS Tampico Madero	1–3	L
14 Mar	vs Irapuato	2–1	W
7 Mar	@ Venados FC	1–0	W
28 Feb	vs Tapatío	2–2	D
14 Feb	vs Atlante FC	1–1	D

29 Mar	vs Tepatitlán	2–2	D
22 Mar	@ Irapuato	2–2	D
15 Mar	vs CA La Paz	1–1	D
7 Mar	@ Tapatío	2–1	W
1 Mar	vs CDS Tampico Madero	1–2	L
15 Feb	vs Mineros de Zacatecas	4–1	W

Correcaminos Uat v Cancún: numbers & prediction