Aalesund vs Molde: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aalesund welcome Molde to Color Line Stadion for a Eliteserien fixture on Saturday 11 July (15:00 WAT). In the table, Aalesund are 15th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 26 matches; Molde are 5th (upper half) with 44. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Aalesund, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Kristiansund BK, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Molde, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Rosenborg, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aalesund 1.8 xG, Molde 2.3 xG – a total near 4.1. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aalesund 31%, draw 20%, Molde 49%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.45.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.45, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aalesund 1–2 Molde. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aalesund31%fair 3.24 · @3.10
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.75
Molde49%fair 2.05 · @2.10
4.08Expected goals
1.79Aalesund xG
2.29Molde xG
68%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
2–27%
1–17%
2–16%
1–36%
2–35%
From our goals model: Aalesund 1.8 – 2.3 Molde expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Molde to win✗
49%
2.05
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.46
1.45
Draw no bet
Molde (draw no bet)
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Aalesund +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.55 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.22
First team to score
Molde to score first
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Molde ahead at half-time✓
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Molde / FT Molde✗
31%
3.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.59
–
Recent results
Aalesund – last 6
WDDWLL
27 Jun
@ Kristiansund BK
3–0
W
29 May
vs Ham-Kam
2–2
D
25 May
@ Tromso
1–1
D
20 May
vs Brann
2–1
W
22 Apr
@ Brann
1–2
L
7 Apr
vs Fredrikstad
2–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Molde – last 6
LLWWLW
5 Jul
@ Rosenborg
1–2
L
28 Jun
vs BodoGlimt
1–4
L
21 Jun
vs KFUM Oslo
5–1
W
30 May
vs Sandefjord
2–1
W
25 May
@ Sarpsborg 08 FF
1–2
L
4 May
@ BodoGlimt
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aalesund and Molde.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Aalesund vs Molde?
On our numbers Aalesund have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Molde 49%.
How many goals will there be in Aalesund vs Molde?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aalesund vs Molde?
Our predicted score is Aalesund 1–2 Molde, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Aalesund vs Molde?
Aalesund vs Molde (Eliteserien) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Color Line Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
