Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultTromso to win ✓53% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.59
Tromso vs Valerenga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tromso welcome Valerenga to Alfheim for a Eliteserien fixture on Saturday 11 July (17:00 WAT). In the table, Tromso are 6th, upper half, on 40 points after 26 matches; Valerenga are 8th (upper half) with 32.
Current form
Tromso, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with KFUM Oslo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Valerenga, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Fredrikstad, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tromso 1.7 xG, Valerenga 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tromso 53%, draw 23%, Valerenga 24%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tromso 1–1 Valerenga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tromso53%fair 1.87 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.70
Valerenga24%fair 4.19 · @4.50
3.03Expected goals
1.74Tromso xG
1.29Valerenga xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Tromso 1.7 – 1.3 Valerenga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tromso to win✓
53%
1.87
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.62
Draw no bet
Tromso (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Valerenga +1 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
First team to score
Tromso to score first✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tromso / FT Tromso✓
29%
3.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.59
–
Recent results
Tromso – last 6
DDLWDW
29 May
@ KFUM Oslo
0–0
D
25 May
vs Aalesund
1–1
D
29 Apr
vs Brann
0–5
L
19 Apr
@ Sarpsborg 08 FF
1–0
W
15 Apr
vs Lillestrom
0–0
D
6 Apr
vs Rosenborg
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Valerenga – last 6
WDWLLL
4 Jul
vs Fredrikstad
3–1
W
18 Jun
@ IFK Goteborg
1–1
D
29 May
vs Kristiansund BK
3–1
W
25 May
@ Start
0–2
L
8 May
@ Ham-Kam
0–1
L
26 Apr
@ Molde
1–5
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tromso and Valerenga.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tromso vs Valerenga?
On our numbers Tromso have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Valerenga 24%.
How many goals will there be in Tromso vs Valerenga?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tromso vs Valerenga?
Our predicted score is Tromso 1–1 Valerenga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Tromso vs Valerenga?
Tromso vs Valerenga (Eliteserien) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Alfheim.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
