Aalesund vs Valerenga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 16 August the Eliteserien brings Aalesund against Valerenga at Color Line Stadion. Kick-off: 13:30 WAT. In the table, Aalesund are 15th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 26 matches; Valerenga are 8th (upper half) with 32.
Current form
Aalesund, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ham-Kam, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Valerenga, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to BodoGlimt, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Valerenga, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Aalesund.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Jul 2026) it ended Valerenga 6–1 Aalesund.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aalesund 1.6 xG, Valerenga 1.9 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 70% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aalesund 33%, draw 20%, Valerenga 47%.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.35.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aalesund 1–1 Valerenga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aalesund33%fair 3.01 · @2.80
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.90
Valerenga47%fair 2.12 · @2.20
3.46Expected goals
1.56Aalesund xG
1.90Valerenga xG
70%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: Aalesund 1.6 – 1.9 Valerenga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Aalesund vs Valerenga?
On our numbers Aalesund have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Valerenga 47%.
How many goals will there be in Aalesund vs Valerenga?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aalesund vs Valerenga?
Our predicted score is Aalesund 1–1 Valerenga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Aalesund vs Valerenga?
Aalesund vs Valerenga (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Color Line Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
