Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Tromso to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMolde to win ✓43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.42
Molde vs Tromso: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tromso travel to face Molde on Sunday 16 August in the Eliteserien, with Aker Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Molde are 5th, upper half, on 44 points after 26 matches; Tromso are 6th (upper half) with 40.
Current form
Molde, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Kristiansund BK, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Tromso, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over CFR 1907 Cluj, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Tromso, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Molde.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Molde 1.6 xG, Tromso 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Molde 43%, draw 21%, Tromso 36%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Tromso to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Molde 1–1 Tromso. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Molde43%fair 2.35 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.60
Tromso36%fair 2.74 · @3.00
3.06Expected goals
1.60Molde xG
1.46Tromso xG
65%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Molde 1.6 – 1.5 Tromso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Molde to win✓
43%
2.35
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.55
1.55
Draw no bet
Molde (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Tromso +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.18
First team to score
Molde to score first✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Molde / FT Molde✓
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.42
–
Recent results
Molde – last 6
LDWLDL
9 Aug
@ Kristiansund BK
1–2
L
2 Aug
vs Sarpsborg 08 FF
3–3
D
26 Jul
@ KFUM Oslo
4–2
W
18 Jul
vs Brann
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Aalesund
2–2
D
5 Jul
@ Rosenborg
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Tromso – last 6
WWWLLW
13 Aug
vs CFR 1907 Cluj
2–1
W
6 Aug
@ CFR 1907 Cluj
5–0
W
2 Aug
@ Aalesund
6–2
W
30 Jul
@ Hradec Králové
1–3
L
23 Jul
vs Hradec Králové
0–1
L
18 Jul
@ Ham-Kam
4–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Molde and Tromso.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Molde vs Tromso?
On our numbers Molde have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tromso 36%.
How many goals will there be in Molde vs Tromso?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Molde vs Tromso?
Our predicted score is Molde 1–1 Tromso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Molde vs Tromso?
Molde vs Tromso (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Aker Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
