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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sarpsborg 08 FF v Sandefjord: numbers & prediction

Eliteserien · Norway · Sarpsborg Stadion
1–2
FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF 61%Draw 23%Sandefjord 15% Expected goals 1.93 – 0.87
85%
Betarazi pick

Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Sarpsborg 08 FF to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSarpsborg 08 FF to win ✗61% · @1.75
Double chanceSarpsborg 08 FF or draw ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Sandefjord: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Sunday 16 August: Sarpsborg 08 FF v Sandefjord in the Eliteserien, played at Sarpsborg Stadion. In the table, Sarpsborg 08 FF are 9th, lower half, on 31 points after 26 matches; Sandefjord are 13th (lower half) with 28. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Sarpsborg 08 FF, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Viking, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Sandefjord, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to KFUM Oslo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Sarpsborg 08 FF, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.2 for Sandefjord.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Sandefjord 0–2 Sarpsborg 08 FF.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sarpsborg 08 FF 1.9 xG, Sandefjord 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sarpsborg 08 FF 61%, draw 23%, Sandefjord 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw (85%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.48.
  • Price worth noting: Sarpsborg 08 FF to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–0 Sandefjord. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sarpsborg 08 FF61%fair 1.63 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @4.00
Sandefjord15%fair 6.47 · @4.00
2.79Expected goals
1.93Sarpsborg 08 FF xG
0.87Sandefjord xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1.9 – 0.9 Sandefjord expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSarpsborg 08 FF to win ✗61%1.631.75 ▲
Double chanceSarpsborg 08 FF or draw ✗85%1.181.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.48
Draw no betSarpsborg 08 FF (draw no bet) ✗80%1.25–
Asian handicapSarpsborg 08 FF -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.731.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.571.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.251.25
First team to scoreSarpsborg 08 FF to score first65%1.54–
Half-time resultSarpsborg 08 FF ahead at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sarpsborg 08 FF / FT Sarpsborg 08 FF ✗40%2.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.16–

Recent results

Sarpsborg 08 FF – last 6

LDWDWW
8 Aug@ Viking1–2L
2 Aug@ Molde3–3D
26 Julvs Ham-Kam1–0W
18 Jul@ Kristiansund BK0–0D
12 Julvs Viking1–0W
29 May@ Brann2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sandefjord – last 6

LLLLDL
7 Augvs KFUM Oslo0–1L
1 Aug@ Fredrikstad0–1L
26 Julvs BodoGlimt0–3L
18 Jul@ Viking1–2L
12 Julvs Ham-Kam2–2D
30 May@ Molde1–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Mar 2026Sandefjord v Sarpsborg 08 FF0–2
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Sandefjord head-to-head page →

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Viking262024+4262
2Bodo/Glimt262024+4062
3Rosenborg261448+2146
4Lillestrom261439+445
5Molde261358+2044
6Tromso261178+340
7Brann2610313+333
8Valerenga269512-432
9Sarpsborg 08 FF268711-1031
10KFUM Oslo268711-1331
11Ham-Kam268612-1530
12Fredrikstad268612-1530
13Sandefjord267712-828
14Kristiansund BK267514-2126
15Aalesund265912-1524
16Start265417-3219

More Eliteserien predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Sandefjord?

Our pick is Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Sandefjord?

On our numbers Sarpsborg 08 FF have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sandefjord 15%.

How many goals will there be in Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Sandefjord?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Sandefjord?

Our predicted score is Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–0 Sandefjord, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Sandefjord?

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Sandefjord (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Sarpsborg Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.