Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Lillestrom to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLillestrom to win ✗63% · @1.75
Double chanceLillestrom or draw ✗84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.39
Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fredrikstad travel to face Lillestrom on Sunday 30 August in the Eliteserien, with Åråsen the venue – the ball rolls at 18:15 WAT. In the table, Lillestrom are 4th, among the top four, on 45 points after 26 matches; Fredrikstad are 12th (lower half) with 30. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lillestrom, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Egnatia Rrogozhinë, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Fredrikstad, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 7–1 win over Eidsvold IF, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Fredrikstad, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Lillestrom.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Jul 2026) it ended Fredrikstad 0–2 Lillestrom.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lillestrom 1.8 xG, Fredrikstad 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lillestrom 63%, draw 20%, Fredrikstad 16%.
Lower-risk option: Lillestrom or draw (84%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Lillestrom to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lillestrom or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lillestrom 1–0 Fredrikstad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lillestrom63%fair 1.58 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @3.70
Fredrikstad16%fair 6.11 · @4.00
2.62Expected goals
1.83Lillestrom xG
0.79Fredrikstad xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Lillestrom 1.8 – 0.8 Fredrikstad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad?
Our pick is Lillestrom or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad?
On our numbers Lillestrom have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Fredrikstad 16%.
How many goals will there be in Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad?
Our predicted score is Lillestrom 1–0 Fredrikstad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad?
Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Åråsen.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
