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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Valerenga v Molde: numbers & prediction

Eliteserien · Norway · Intility Arena
3–4
FT

Molde

WWLDW
Valerenga 35%Draw 20%Molde 45% Expected goals 1.65 – 1.88
70%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultMolde to win ✓45% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.69

Valerenga vs Molde: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 30 August the Eliteserien brings Valerenga against Molde at Intility Arena. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Valerenga are 8th, upper half, on 32 points after 26 matches; Molde are 5th (upper half) with 44. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Valerenga, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 7–2 win over Christiania BK, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.7 a game lately.

Molde, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 11–0 win over Midsund, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 3.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Molde 5–1 Valerenga.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Valerenga 1.6 xG, Molde 1.9 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 70% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Valerenga 35%, draw 20%, Molde 45%.
  • GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.33.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valerenga 1–1 Molde. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Valerenga35%fair 2.82 · @2.60
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @3.90
Molde45%fair 2.22 · @2.33
3.53Expected goals
1.65Valerenga xG
1.88Molde xG
70%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
1–35%

From our goals model: Valerenga 1.6 – 1.9 Molde expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMolde to win ✓45%2.222.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.241.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓70%1.431.33
Draw no betMolde (draw no bet) ✓56%1.79–
Asian handicapValerenga +1 (Asian handicap)70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.171.11
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.461.38
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗52%1.911.83
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗71%1.411.36
First team to scoreMolde to score first52%1.93–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗36%2.78–
Half-time / full-timeHT Molde / FT Molde ✓27%3.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.69–

Recent results

Valerenga – last 6

WDLLWW
23 Aug@ Christiania BK7–2W
16 Aug@ Aalesund5–5D
8 Augvs BodoGlimt1–2L
31 Julvs Ham-Kam0–3L
26 Jul@ Brann3–2W
16 Julvs Aalesund6–1W
3.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Molde – last 6

WWLDWL
22 Aug@ Midsund11–0W
16 Augvs Tromso3–2W
9 Aug@ Kristiansund BK1–2L
2 Augvs Sarpsborg 08 FF3–3D
26 Jul@ KFUM Oslo4–2W
18 Julvs Brann1–2L
3.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Apr 2026Molde v Valerenga5–1
Valerenga vs Molde head-to-head page →

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Viking262024+4262
2Bodo/Glimt262024+4062
3Rosenborg261448+2146
4Lillestrom261439+445
5Molde261358+2044
6Tromso261178+340
7Brann2610313+333
8Valerenga269512-432
9Sarpsborg 08 FF268711-1031
10KFUM Oslo268711-1331
11Ham-Kam268612-1530
12Fredrikstad268612-1530
13Sandefjord267712-828
14Kristiansund BK267514-2126
15Aalesund265912-1524
16Start265417-3219

More Eliteserien predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Valerenga vs Molde?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Valerenga vs Molde?

On our numbers Valerenga have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Molde 45%.

How many goals will there be in Valerenga vs Molde?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Valerenga vs Molde?

Our predicted score is Valerenga 1–1 Molde, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Valerenga vs Molde?

Valerenga vs Molde (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Intility Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.