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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Viking v Aalesund: numbers & prediction

Eliteserien · Norway · Lyse Arena

Viking

WDLWW
2–1
FT
Viking 74%Draw 16%Aalesund 11% Expected goals 2.76 – 1.00
74%
Betarazi pick

Viking to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultViking to win ✓74% · @1.25
Double chanceViking or draw ✓89% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.48
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.27

Viking vs Aalesund: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Sunday 30 August: Viking v Aalesund in the Eliteserien, played at Lyse Arena. In the table, Viking are 1st, leading the league, on 62 points after 26 matches; Aalesund are 15th (in the drop zone) with 24. There are 38 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Viking, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Dinamo Zagreb, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Aalesund, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 13–0 win over Langevag, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.8 a game lately.

Momentum favours Viking, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Aalesund.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Jul 2026) it ended Aalesund 1–1 Viking. The last 2 head-to-heads: Viking 0 wins, Aalesund 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Viking 2.8 xG, Aalesund 1.0 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 73% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Viking 74%, draw 16%, Aalesund 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.48.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Viking to win (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Viking 2–1 Aalesund. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Viking74%fair 1.36 · @1.25
Draw16%fair 6.34 · @6.00
Aalesund11%fair 9.46 · @9.25
3.76Expected goals
2.76Viking xG
1.00Aalesund xG
64%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–16%
1–06%

From our goals model: Viking 2.8 – 1.0 Aalesund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultViking to win ✓74%1.361.25
Double chanceViking or draw ✓89%1.121.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.561.48
Draw no betViking (draw no bet) ✓87%1.14–
Asian handicapViking -1 (Asian handicap)67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.131.08
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73%1.371.28
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗54%1.871.70
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓65%1.531.50
First team to scoreViking to score first ✗72%1.40–
Half-time resultViking ahead at half-time ✗56%1.80–
Half-time / full-timeHT Viking / FT Viking ✗51%1.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.27–

Recent results

Viking – last 6

WDLWWD
26 Augvs Dinamo Zagreb3–1W
18 Aug@ Dinamo Zagreb2–2D
14 Aug@ Rosenborg1–2L
8 Augvs Sarpsborg 08 FF2–1W
1 Aug@ Start3–0W
26 Jul@ Aalesund1–1D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Aalesund – last 6

WDDLDL
22 Aug@ Langevag13–0W
16 Augvs Valerenga5–5D
9 Aug@ Ham-Kam1–1D
2 Augvs Tromso2–6L
26 Julvs Viking1–1D
16 Jul@ Valerenga1–6L
3.8Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Jul 2026Aalesund v Viking1–1
18 Mar 2026Viking v Aalesund1–2
Viking vs Aalesund head-to-head page →

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Viking262024+4262
2Bodo/Glimt262024+4062
3Rosenborg261448+2146
4Lillestrom261439+445
5Molde261358+2044
6Tromso261178+340
7Brann2610313+333
8Valerenga269512-432
9Sarpsborg 08 FF268711-1031
10KFUM Oslo268711-1331
11Ham-Kam268612-1530
12Fredrikstad268612-1530
13Sandefjord267712-828
14Kristiansund BK267514-2126
15Aalesund265912-1524
16Start265417-3219

More Eliteserien predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Viking vs Aalesund?

Our pick is Viking to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Viking vs Aalesund?

On our numbers Viking have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Aalesund 11%.

How many goals will there be in Viking vs Aalesund?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Viking vs Aalesund?

Our predicted score is Viking 2–1 Aalesund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Viking vs Aalesund?

Viking vs Aalesund (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Lyse Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.