Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultAalesund to win ✗41% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.69
Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Aalesund v Sarpsborg 08 FF in the Eliteserien, played at Color Line Stadion. In the table, Aalesund are 15th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 26 matches; Sarpsborg 08 FF are 9th (lower half) with 31.
Current form
Aalesund, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Molde, away. 3.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Sarpsborg 08 FF, last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Follo, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aalesund 1.6 xG, Sarpsborg 08 FF 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 67%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aalesund 41%, draw 21%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 38%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aalesund 1–1 Sarpsborg 08 FF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aalesund41%fair 2.45 · @2.40
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.40
Sarpsborg 08 FF38%fair 2.65 · @2.60
3.14Expected goals
1.60Aalesund xG
1.54Sarpsborg 08 FF xG
67%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–27%
From our goals model: Aalesund 1.6 – 1.5 Sarpsborg 08 FF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aalesund to win✗
41%
2.45
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Draw no bet
Aalesund (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Sarpsborg 08 FF +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
First team to score
Aalesund to score first✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aalesund / FT Aalesund✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.69
–
Recent results
Aalesund – last 6
WDLWLW
19 Sep
@ Molde
2–1
W
16 Sep
@ Førde
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ KFUM Oslo
1–2
L
4 Sep
vs Start
2–0
W
30 Aug
@ Viking
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Langevag
13–0
W
3.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Sarpsborg 08 FF – last 6
WLDDDW
30 Sep
@ Follo
2–0
W
18 Sep
vs KFUM Oslo
1–3
L
13 Sep
@ Fredrikstad
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Valerenga
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ Tromso
0–0
D
22 Aug
@ Sparta Sarpsborg
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aalesund and Sarpsborg 08 FF.
What is the prediction for Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
On our numbers Aalesund have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sarpsborg 08 FF 38%.
How many goals will there be in Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
Our predicted score is Aalesund 1–1 Sarpsborg 08 FF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Color Line Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
